A Theory of Dual Job Search and Sex‐Based Occupational Clustering

AuthorAlan Benson
Date01 July 2015
DOIhttp://doi.org/10.1111/irel.12095
Published date01 July 2015
A Theory of Dual Job Search and Sex-Based
Occupational Clustering*
ALAN BENSON
This paper theorizes and provides evidence for the segregation of men into clus-
tered occupations and women into dispersed occupations in advance of marriage
and in anticipation of future colocation problems. Using the Decennial Census,
and controlling for occupational characteristics, I nd evidence of this general pat-
tern of segregation, and also nd that the minority of the highly educated men
and women who depart from this equilibrium experience delayed marriage, higher
divorce, and lower earnings. Results are consistent with the theory that marriage
and mobility expectations foment a self-fullling pattern of occupational segrega-
tion with individual departures deterred by earnings and marriage penalties.
Introduction
In 2010, 67 percent of U.S. families with at least one labor force participant
featured dual-earner couples, up from 41 percent in 1980.
1
Given the frequency
with which young, career-oriented workers relocate for work or schooling and
the impact these decisions may have on the career trajectories of the partner, it is
not surprising that researchersattention to the colocation problem has also
grown. Mincer (1978) and Sandell (1977) introduced a neoclassical approach to
household relocation decisions, noting that decisions that optimize the familys
net career outcomes may impair the careers of tied stayers or tied movers. Frank
(1978) hypothesized that the co-location problem will concentrate women in
*The authorsafliation is Carlson School of Management, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minne-
sota. Email: bensona@umn.edu.
JEL: J24, J16, J31, J12, J61.
This paper is based upon Chapter 2 of the authors doctoral dissertation at the MIT Sloan School of Man-
agement. The author is indebted to David Autor for comments and feedback throughout the project, and also
thanks Dan Fehder, Stephanie Hurder, Thomas Kochan, Ferran Mane, Matt Marx, Kathy McGinn, Paul
Osterman, Al Roth, participants in the MIT Economics Labor Lunch, MIT Economic Sociology Working
Group, the 2011 LBS Transatlantic Doctoral Conference, the 2011 IWAEE conference, the 2011 MOOD
conference, the 2011 People and Organizations conference at Wharton, and colleagues at the Institute for
Work & Employment Research for comments. Replication materials are available upon request. The usual
disclaimer applies.
1
Figures based on authors calculation. Includes full-time, part-time, and unemployed labor force partici-
pants where both heads are ages 1865.
INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS, Vol. 54, No. 3 (July 2015). ©2015 Regents of the University of California
Published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc., 350 Main Street, Malden, MA 02148, USA, and 9600 Garsington
Road, Oxford, OX4 2DQ, UK.
367
large cities. Costa and Kahn (2000) attributed the increasing concentration of col-
lege-educated power couplesin large metropolitan areas in part to their ability
to sustain two simultaneous careers. Empirical studies have challenged the sym-
metry of these models due to evidence that household relocation decisions favor
husbandscareers. Compton and Pollak (2007) found that only the education of
the husband predicts migration to large metropolitan areas, and the higher inci-
dence of power couples in large metropolitan areas is due to higher rates of
power couple formation. Others nd that household migration usually advances
husbandscareers to the detriment of their wives (Boyle et al. 2001; Clark and
Huang 2006; Jacobsen and Levin 2000; Long 1974; McKinnish 2008).
However, by emphasizing why and for whom household relocation deci-
sions are made, research on couplesjob search neglects the broader chal-
lenges and opportunities presented by variation in the geographic exibility of
jobs and potential endogeneity in occupational choice. Newly trained physi-
cists, computer scientists, naval architects, and nuclear engineers are typically
geographically constrained and require calculated moves early in their careers.
In contrast, administrative assistants, dentists, schoolteachers, nurses, and gen-
eral managers are ubiquitous and typically enjoy relative geographic exibility.
This study asks how the co-location problem might differentially affect men
and women. If men sort into occupations that benet from calculated moves,
does the colocation problem discourage women from doing the same?
In the rst section I introduce a model whereby early specic career invest-
ments, couplesdesire to colocate, and variation in the geographic exibility
of jobs result in a coordination problem that prompts men and women to sort
into geographically clustered and dispersed occupations in advance of mar-
riage, a phenomenon I refer to as sex-based occupational clustering.
2
In the
model, occupations are clustered or dispersed for reasons exogenous to their
sexual composition, and highly clustered occupations compensate for the di-
samenity of geographic constraints but penalize couples with two such careers
due to the colocation problem. The model is consistent with a number of well-
known features of inequality, including the tendency for women to be tied
movers when a family relocates for work and the segregation of women into
lower-paying jobs. It also yields specic testable predictions regarding the
marriage and earnings penalties that deter desegregation, and implies that these
2
The model and timing are similar to others in which the household division of labor and child-rearing
expectations affect mens and womensex ante training investments (see, for example, Becker 1991; Eche-
varria and Merlo 1999; Engineer and Welling 1999; and Hadeld 1999). However, although these models
ex ante investments follow from specialization in household production (and the inability to efciently con-
tract domestic work), ex ante investments in the model proposed here follow from variation in the geo-
graphic constraint and exibility across occupations.
368 / ALAN BENSON
predictions should be greatest for those with a high degree of formal
education.
I construct an occupational clustering index in the second section. Using the
2000 Decennial Census, for each occupation, I use the index to calculate the
share of workers in that occupation that would need to relocate to equalize its
workers per capita in every metropolitan statistical area (MSA). I nd that
workers in clustered occupations tend to have higher rates of relocation for
work among never-married and single-earning men and women.
In the third section I provide evidence that occupational clustering is an axis
of occupational segregation: occupations dominated by women tend to be geo-
graphically dispersed, and occupations dominated by men tend to be geographi-
cally clustered. This correlation holds after controlling for several occupational
features including hours worked, mean age, physical strength requirements, the
extent to which the occupation involves assisting and caring for others, and the
required level of math. To provide intuition for the magnitude of this number,
prime-age dual-earner couples that feature a husband in an occupation that is
more clustered than his wifes outnumber the reverse about two to one.
In the following section, I provide additional evidence that occupational
clustering is an axis of earnings and marriage inequality. Consistent with the
models predictions, women who enter geographically clustered occupations
experience lower earnings, later marriage, and higher divorce rates compared
with those entering dispersed occupations. Men, in contrast, enjoy earnings
premia and lower divorce rates in clustered occupations. I nd that the results
for occupational segregation, earnings inequality, and marriage delay and
divorce are primarily driven by individuals in occupations dominated by work-
ers with a bachelors degree or higher. This suggests the models results are
most consistent where the costs of switching occupations (for example, follow-
ing geographic displacement) are highest.
The study aims to introduce a framework for thinking about the colocation
problem in a life-course setting and to examine whether the geographic distri-
bution of jobs appears to be an empirically (if not theoretically) useful axis
from which to analyze inequality in occupations, earnings, and marriage.
A Model of Occupational Clustering and Sex Segregation
In this section I demonstrate how a simple model that incorporates standards
of occupation choice, marriage search, and job search in a life-course setting
can yield sufcient conditions for equilibrium sex-based occupational cluster-
ing. The model considers risk-neutral workers who initially differ only in sex
and who are interested in low marriage search costs and high family earnings.
A Theory of Dual Job Search / 369

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