The Role of Evaluation in Building Evidence-Based Policy

AuthorLarry L. Orr
Date01 July 2018
DOI10.1177/0002716218764299
Published date01 July 2018
Subject MatterBackground
ANNALS, AAPSS, 678, July 2018 51
DOI: 10.1177/0002716218764299
The Role of
Evaluation in
Building
Evidence-Based
Policy
By
LARRY L. ORR
764299ANN The Annals of The American AcademyThe Role of Evaluation in Building Evidence-Based Policy
research-article2018
Growing recognition that many government programs
may be ineffective, or at best of unproven effectiveness,
has led to the evidence-based policy movement—an
effort to ensure that proposed and existing public pro-
grams have been shown to achieve their objectives.
Rigorous evaluation is central to this movement. In this
article, I briefly review the history of evaluation of
social programs and the barriers to the application of
effective evaluation to public policy.
Keywords: evidence-based policy; social experiments;
randomized trials; evaluation; evaluation
history; barriers to evaluation
Faced with a proposal for a new program or
policy, decision-makers must ask crucial
questions. What is its objective? Is that objec-
tive desirable? And if so, will this program or
policy achieve that objective? The first two
questions call for value judgments, and I have
little to say about them. But the third calls for
evidence. Only by examining evidence can we
hope to learn whether an intervention achieves
its objectives. The role of evaluation is to pro-
vide and interpret that evidence.
The need for careful evaluation is not always
recognized, especially in political circles. After
all, public programs are designed by experts
and run by experienced administrators. Can’t
we be confident that these programs work,
without all the trouble and cost of an evalua-
tion? Unfortunately, no. Rigorous tests of
Larry L. Orr teaches the program evaluation course in
the master of public policy program at Johns Hopkins
University and consults on the design and analysis of
evaluations of public programs. His current research
focuses on theoretical and empirical analysis of external
validity. He is author of the graduate level text, Social
Experiments: Evaluating Public Programs with
Experimental Methods (Sage Publications 1998).
Correspondence: Lorr5@jhu.edu

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