Taking the Leap: The Determinants of Entrepreneurs Hiring Their First Employee

Date01 February 2017
Published date01 February 2017
DOIhttp://doi.org/10.1111/jems.12176
AuthorJavier Miranda,Robert W. Fairlie
Taking the Leap: The Determinants of Entrepreneurs
Hiring Their First Employee
ROBERT W. FAIRLIE
Department of Economics
Engineering 2 Bldg.
University of California
Santa Cruz, CA 95064
rfairlie@ucsc.edu
JAVIER MIRANDA
Center for Economic Studies
U.S. Census Bureau
4600 Silver Hill Road, 5K137 Washington, DC 20233
javier.miranda@census.gov
Job creation is one of the most important aspects of entrepreneurship, but we know relatively little
about the hiring patterns and decisions of start-ups. Longitudinal data from the Integrated Lon-
gitudinal Business Database (iLBD), Kauffman Firm Survey (KFS), and the Growing America
through Entrepreneurship (GATE) experiment are used to provide some of the first evidence in
the literature on the determinants of taking the leap from a nonemployer to employer firm among
start-ups. Several interesting patterns emerge regarding the dynamics of nonemployer start-
ups hiring their first employee. Hiring rates among the universe of nonemployer start-ups are
very low, but increase when the population of nonemployers is focused on more growth-oriented
businesses such as incorporated and employer identification number businesses. If nonemployer
start-ups hire, the bulk of hiring occurs in the first few years of existence. After this point
in time, relatively few nonemployer start-ups hire an employee. Focusing on more growth- and
employment-oriented start-ups in the KFS, we find that Asian-owned and Hispanic-owned start-
ups have higher rates of hiring their first employee than white-owned start-ups. Female-owned
start-ups are roughly 10 percentage points less likely to hire their first employee by the first,
second, and seventh years after start-up. The education level of the owner, however, is not found
to be associated with the probability of hiring an employee. Among business characteristics, we
find evidence that business assets and intellectual property are associated with hiring the first
employee. Using data from the largest random experiment providing entrepreneurship training
in the United States ever conducted, we do not find evidence that entrepreneurship training
increases the likelihood that nonemployers hire their first employee.
1. Introduction
Many policymakers and organizations have called upon entrepreneurs to create new
jobs. For example, President Obama has repeatedly emphasized the importance of
We thank Michael Roach, Nick Papageorge,and seminar participants at Cornell University, Harvard Univer-
sity,the London School of Economics, the University of Bristol, UC Berkeley, University of Arizona, Louisiana
Tech, Tufts University,Northeastern University, and the Kauffman/IZA Conference on Entrepreneurship for
comments and suggestions. We also thank the Small Business Administration for partial funding for the
project. Any opinions and conclusions expressed herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily
represent the views of the U.S. Census Bureau. All results have been reviewed to ensure that no confidential
information is disclosed.
C2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.
Journal of Economics & Management Strategy, Volume26, Number 1, Spring 2017, 3–34
4Journal of Economics & Management Strategy
start-ups and small businesses in creating jobs, and has signed laws such as the Small
Business Jobs Act of 2010 and the Jumpstart Our Business Start-ups (JOBS) Act of 2012,
which aim to create jobs through promoting small businesses. The focus on the job cre-
ation potential of entrepreneurs also exists in Europe and other countries around the
world (OECD, 2014).
Several previous studies examine the impact of small businesses on employment.
Starting with the seminal study by Birch (1979) showing that small businesses were
the principal driver of job creation in the U.S. economy and recent refinements of this
argument to focus on young and high-impact firms, there has been considerable interest
in what types of firms generate jobs. Recent evidence indicates that young and high-
impact businesses (defined as having high rates of growth in sales and employment)
account for essentially all net jobs in the economy (Tracy, 2011; Haltiwanger et al., 2013).
Often overlooked is that self-employed business owners also create jobs for themselves,
representing more than 10% of total employment in the United States and that many
employer businesses start as nonemployers (Davis et al., 2007).
But, hiring employees represents one of the major thresholdsthat entrepreneurs en-
counter when growing their businesses. The step from nonemployer to employer entails
additional registration and legal requirements; health insurance, workers compensation
and unemployment insurance issues, and the ongoing burden of making payroll. Nav-
igating through filing for an employer identification number (EIN), federal wage and
tax statement (Form W-2), employee eligibility verification (Form I-9), state new hire
reporting program, workers’ compensation insurance program, unemployment insur-
ance tax registration program, and disability insurance in some states may be especially
daunting to small business owners considering hiring their first employee. But, perhaps,
the most important consideration for the owner is whether current and future revenues
are large enough to cover the extra expenses of having employees. Surprisingly, given
its importance, there is very little research on the topic.
This paper examines four main questions related to the decision by entrepreneurs
to hire their first employee that have not been examined in detail in the previous litera-
ture. First, what are the dynamic patterns of hiring employees among start-ups in their
first few years of existence? Second, what are the demographic and human capital char-
acteristics of entrepreneurs that are associated with making the decision to hire theirfirst
employee in the first several years of operation? Are female, minority, and immigrant
owners less likely to cross the employer threshold? Are more educated entrepreneurs
more likely to hire their first employee in the first years of existence? Third, can an
alternative form of human capital, entrepreneurship training, help overcome some of
the barriers to hiring employees? Entrepreneurship training often specifically teaches
self-employed business owners strategies for hiring and managing employees, and pro-
vides training on registering for EINs, tax and insurance compliance, and legal issues,
but does it increase the likelihood of hiring the first employee? Finally, what dynamic
business conditions are associated with hiring the first employee? Is there a sales or
business asset milestone that firms often reach before hiring their first employee? Do
nonemployer firms typically have intellectual property,such as patents, copyrights, and
trademarks, before hiring their first employee?
In addition to the previous research on the impact of small businesses on employ-
ment in the United States, a few recent studies examine the relationship and growth
patterns between nonemployer to employer businesses. Acs et al. (2009), for example,
find that nonemployers have a start-up rate of 35%, which is nearly three times the
start-up rate of employer firms. Using matched data from the Census Bureau, Davis
Taking the Leap 5
et al. (2007) find that a significant number of new employer firms start as nonemployer
firms. The link between nonemployer and employer status and how it is related to
reaching business milestones and owner characteristics, however, has not been previ-
ously examined in detail.
Another strand of research indicates variation in employment rates and average
number of employees by demographic and human capital characteristics of the business
owner. Parker (2009) reviews the literatureand reports evidence of positive effects from
education, age, experience, male, parental self-employment, wealth, and industry.1Three
factors that especially stand out are minority, female ownership, and education. In
the United States, for example, substantial disparities exist between minority versus
nonminority owned firms and female versus male owned firms, for example: 13.3%
of minority-owned firms hire employees compared with 21.6% of nonminority owned
firms, and 11.7% of female-owned business hire employees compared with 23.2% of
male-owned businesses (U.S. Census Bureau, 2013).2The education level of the business
owner is also associated with hiring employees, with 32% of owners with a university
degree hiring employees compared with 28% of owners with a high school degree or
lower level of education hiring employees.3These findings, however, are for all existing
businesses and do not capture the relationship between owner characteristic and the
employment decision when that decision is made. Previous research also does not focus
on start-ups, and hiring patterns may differ substantially for all new businesses than for
the subsample of businesses that survive up to the survey year.
In this paper,we use data from three sources: 1) the U.S. Census Bureau’s Integrated
Longitudinal Business Database (iLBD) that provides panel data on the universe of
nonemployers matched to employers over time, 2) the Kauffman Firm Survey (KFS) that
provides panel data on detailed owner and business characteristics and follows growth-
oriented start-ups over the first several years of existence, and 3) the Growing America
through Entrepreneurship (GATE) experiment that is the largest random experiment
on the effects of entrepreneurship training ever conducted. Using these data, this paper
provides one of the first detailed longitudinal studies of the owner,business, and training
determinants of nonemployers hiring their first employee. The novel results from the
iLBD provide the first evidence in the literature on hiring patterns among the universe
of nonemployer start-ups.4
The limited previous research on the topic appears to be due to data limitations.
Very few datasets provide information on the time at which a business hires its first
employee, owner and business characteristics, and longitudinal information on business
conditions or milestones. Additionally, no previous datasets have information allowing
for a credible method of identifying whether entrepreneurship training helps business
owners hire their first employee.
2. Data
Three datasets, the iLBD, the KFS, and the GATE Project, are used in this study.
All three datasets provide difficult-to-find information on when a nonemployer
1. Also, see Burke et al. (2000, 2002), van Praag and Cramer (2001), Cowling et al. (2004), Henley (2005),
and Fairlie and Robb (2007a).
2. See Fairlie and Robb (2007b, 2008) for a review of the literature on racial and ethnic patterns in business
employment.
3. See van der Sluis et al. (2005) for evidence on the relationship between education and business outcomes.
4. These results from the new and revised iLBD complement earlier results reportedin Davis et al. (2007).
Two major differences in the current study arethat we focus specifically on the population of start-ups and
that we include all industries.

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