Contract contingency in vertically related markets

DOIhttp://doi.org/10.1111/jems.12252
AuthorEmmanuel Petrakis,Emanuele Bacchiega,Olivier Bonroy
Published date01 October 2018
Date01 October 2018
772 © 2018 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. wileyonlinelibrary.com/journal/jems J Econ Manage Strat. 2018;27:772–791.
Received: 23 March 2017 Revised: 26 March 2018 Accepted: 29 March 2018
DOI: 10.1111/jems.12252
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Contract contingency in vertically related markets
Emanuele Bacchiega1Olivier Bonroy2Emmanuel Petrakis3
1Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche, Alma
Mater Studiorum - Università di Bologna, Italy
2UniversitéGrenoble Alpes, INRA,
UMR GAEL, Grenoble, France
(Email: olivier.bonroy@inra.fr)
3Department of Economics, Univer-
sity of Crete, Rethymnon,Greece
(Email: petrakis@uoc.gr)
Correspondence
EmanueleBacchiega, Dipartimento di Scienze
Economiche,Alma Mater Studiorum - Univer-
sità di Bologna, Italy.
Email:emanuele.bacchiega@unibo.it
Abstract
Over the last years, courts are increasingly inclined to consider precontractual arrange-
ments as binding contracts, endowing them with commitment value that can be used
strategically by the party that proposes them. We study the optimal precontractual
arrangement offers of an upstream monopolist producing an essential input that may
sell to two vertically differentiated downstream firms. These arrangements concern
the exclusivity and the contingency of the contracts to be signed. Once the precon-
tractual arrangements have been determined, the terms of the contracts are negotiated
between the upstream supplier and the downstream firm(s). The distribution of bar-
gaining power during the contract terms negotiations is the main driving force of the
monopolist's choices. A powerful supplier always opts for an exclusive contract. By
contrast, a weaker supplier offers nonexclusivecontracts and makes each of them con-
tingent or noncontingent such as to guarantee the most favorableoutside option in its
negotiations.
1INTRODUCTION
Along production chains, the trading relationships among firms are governed by contracts that can take a variety of forms.1
Vertical contracting is thus crucial for determining the behavior and performance of firms in the production chain as well as
for the whole industry they operate in. Vertical contracting refers not only to the type of contracts used in the trading between
upstream and downstream firms but also to the process via which the specific contractual terms are determined. Although the
complete contractual terms that will be executed in case of successful negotiations must be included in the final contract, it is
common to observe that these final contracts originate from precontractual arrangements. These arrangements frame the ensuing
negotiations, which, in turn, determine the final contractual terms. In the legal jargon, such arrangements are often referred to as
“letters of intent,” “memorandums of understanding,” or “term sheets” and, historically, were not considered as binding by the
courts.2This entailed that no party could be held liable for breaching an agreement that was not contained in a formal, complete
contract. Yet, quoting Farnsworth (1987),
In recent decades, courts have shown increasing willingness to impose precontractual liability. (p. 222)
The characteristics that make precontractual arrangements enforceable and what actual obligations they entail depend on
each judicial system. Traditionally, though a debate exists, U.S. and continental Europe courts are more prone than English
ones to confer any liability based on preliminary agreements. However, in the recent years, in most countries the stance is
rapidly evolving toward the idea that a preliminary agreement at least engages the parties to continue the negotiations in good
We wish to thank Emilio Calvano, Vincenzo Denicolò, Andrea Giardini, Markus Reisinger, Tommaso Valletti, Thibaud Vergé, Christian Wey, the audiences
at XXXV Jornadas de Economía Industrial, Alicante 2015, 5th EIEF-Unibo-Bocconi IGIER Workshop on Industrial Organization, Rome 2015, CORE@50
conference, Louvain-la-Neuve, 2016, ASSET 2016 Thessaloniki, TSE Food Economics and PolicySeminar, 2016, the associate editor, and three anonymous
referees for extremelyuseful comments and discussions. The usual disclaimer applies.
BACCHIEGAET A L.3
773
faith over the open terms, to eventually sign a final contract, see, for example, Draetta and Lake (1993), Ben-Shahar (2004),
Schwartz and Scott (2007), Cartwright and Hesselink (2008), Trakman and Sharma (2014), and the references therein.3It is
important to remark that the duty to negotiate in good faith does not impose to the parties to reach a deal at any cost, rather
to do their best efforts to reach a final agreement within the frame of the preliminary agreement. This paradigmatic shift has
important consequences as precontractual arrangements can no longer be considered as “cheap talk” but are now endowed with
commitment value and can be used strategically by the party that proposes them.
In this paper, we investigatethe optimal precontractual arrangement offers of an upstream monopolist selling an essential input
to downstream firms, which produce vertically differentiated final goods. These offers concern some features of the contracts
to be signed, and in particular, their exclusivity and their contingency. Once the contracts have been selected, their terms are
negotiated between the upstream supplier and the downstream firm(s). Assuming that contracts take the form of two-part tariffs,
we inquire into the following issues. Does the upstream supplier have incentives to foreclose one of the downstream firms by
offering an exclusive contract to the other firm? And if so, the foreclosed firm will be the high- or the low-quality one? When the
upstream firm offers nonexclusive contracts to both downstream firms, what will be the specific type of these contracts? Under
what conditions will it offer a contingent contract that allows renegotiation of contract terms with one downstream firm in case
of breakdown in the negotiations with the other one?4Or, when will it offer a noncontingent contract not allowing for such
renegotiations? What are the market and societal implications of the upstream monopolist's contract configuration selection?
We consider a vertically related industry with an upstream monopolist and (potentially)two downstream firms. The upstream
supplier produces an essential input that sells to one or both downstream firms, depending on its decision at the outset of the game
to offer an exclusive or twononexclusive contracts, respectively. The downstream firms are endowedwith different technologies
that allow the production of different output qualities using the same input (see Gabszewicz & Thisse, 1979; Shaked & Sutton,
1983).5If the upstream supplier chooses to offer contracts to both downstream firms, it must also decide whether each of them
is contingent or noncontingent. A contingent contract is more flexible and allows negotiating parties to set different contractual
terms in case of agreement and in case of disagreement in the rival bargaining pair. This flexibility is absent under a noncontingent
contract.
We study a three-stage game with observable actions. In the first stage, the upstream monopolist decides to offer an exclusive
contract or two nonexclusive ones. This is a precontractual arrangement that, in legal terms, can be materialized by using a
letter of intent wherewith the upstream firm sets out its intentions about the number and type of contractual relations to enter.6
If the monopolist opts for an exclusive relation, it also decides to which of the downstream firms to make the offer.7In the
case of nonexclusivity, it also decides the configuration of contracts to be offered, that is, two contingent, two noncontingent,
or mixed (one contingent and another noncontingent) contracts.8In the second stage, negotiations over contract terms take
place between the upstream monopolist and the downstream firm(s). In case of nonexclusive contracts, these negotiations take
place simultaneously and separately between the upstream supplier and each of the downstream firms. In the last stage, under
nonexclusive contracts, the downstream firms compete in the market by selecting their prices; under an exclusive contract, the
downstream monopolist sets its price.
As the alternative types of nonexclusive contracts are central in our analysis, a discussion in detail of their features will
be of great help for the sequel. A nonexclusive contract signed between the upstream supplier and a downstream firm can be
of two types: contingent and noncontingent. A contingent contract contains specific terms in the event of a breakdown in the
negotiations in the rival bargaining pair. An immediate consequence is that the outside options for the negotiating firms fully
internalize the implications of the negotiation failure in the rival pair. By contrast, a noncontingent contract does not allow for
renegotiation of contract terms in case of a breakdown in the negotiations in the rival bargaining pair. As a consequence, the
outside options for the negotiating firms are determined by their equilibrium contractual terms. Therefore, the crucial difference
between the two types of nonexclusive contracts lies on the outside options that are attributed to negotiating parties under each
of them (see, e.g., Milliou & Petrakis, 2007).9
Our analysis highlights the role of the bargainingpower distribution between the upstream supplier and each of the downstream
firms for the optimal selection of contracts. In particular, when the upstream supplier is quite powerful, it offers an exclusive
contract to the high-quality downstream firm, whereas it selects two nonexclusivecontracts when its bargaining power is not too
high. The upstream supplier faces the following trade-off when selecting between an exclusive and two nonexclusive contracts.
Under an exclusivecontract, competition downstream is absent altogether, therefore, under two-part tariff contracts, the vertically
integrated structure's outcome is obtained. Yet, the upstream supplier's outside option (i.e., its profits when the negotiations with
the downstream firm break down) is nil in this case. This entails that its share of the vertically integrated entity's profits is
proportional to the upstream bargaining power. The lower the latter, the smaller the profit that the upstream supplier is able
to extract. By contrast, with nonexclusive contracts that are negotiated simultaneously and separately, competition downstream
erodes part of the aggregate producer surplus (O'Brien & Shaffer, 1992). Yet, with nonexclusivecontracts, t he upstreamsupplier

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