Appointee Confirmation and Tenure: The Succession of U.S. Federal Agency Appointees, 1989–2009

Date01 November 2012
AuthorSang Ok Choi,Matthew Dull,Patrick S. Roberts,Michael S. Keeney
Published date01 November 2012
DOIhttp://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6210.2012.02676.x
Matthew Dull is associate professor in
the Center for Public Administration and
Policy at Virginia Tech. His current research
interests include American political institu-
tions, oversight political appointees, and
public sector professionalism.
E-mail: mdull@vt.edu
Patrick S. Roberts is associate profes-
sor in the Center for Public Administration
and Policy at Virginia Tech. His book
Disasters and the American State:
How Politicians, Bureaucrats, and the
Public Prepare for the Unexpected
is forthcoming from Cambridge University
Press.
E-mail: patrickroberts@vt.edu
Michael S. Keeney received his
doctorate from the Center for Public
Administration and Policy at Virginia Tech
in May 2012. In addition to this project, his
ongoing research interests include studying
the effects of state constitutional design in
state policymaking.
Sang Ok Choi is associate professor in
the Department of Public Administration
at Korea University. His current research
focuses on the study of interorganizational
relationships and public management
network. His work has appeared in Public
Administration Review, American
Review of Public Administration,
State and Local Government
Review, Administration & Society,
International Journal of Public Sector
Management, International Journal
of Emergency Management, and
Journal of Homeland Security and
Emergency Management.
E-mail: sangchoi@korea.ac.kr
902 Public Administration Review • November | December 2012
Public Administration Review,
Vol. 72, Iss. 6, pp. 902–913. © 2012 by
The American Society for Public Administration.
DOI: 10.111/j.1540-6210.2012.02676.x.
Matthew Dull
Patrick S. Roberts
Michael S. Keeney
Virginia Tech
Sang Ok Choi
Korea University
is article analyzes the conf‌i rmation and tenure of
2,300 Senate-conf‌i rmed, presidential appointees to U.S.
government agencies between 1989 and 2009, link-
ing patterns of appointee conf‌i rmation and tenure to
institutional politics, appointee independence, and agency
context. Consistent with prior research, the authors f‌i nd
that nominees of new, powerful, and popular presidents
enjoy expedited Senate conf‌i rmation. Contentious con-
gressional committee oversight, by contrast, tends to delay
conf‌i rmation and reduce tenure. Agency heads and posi-
tions insulated from removal, such as for f‌i xed-term posi-
tions and inspectors general, increase tenure. Extending
empirical research, the analysis highlights program- and
agency-level variations that speak to the many contin-
gencies shaping appointee politics. Appointee positions
associated with national security and broad statutory
discretion receive expedited conf‌i rmation. Agencies with
more professionals are associated with increased tenure,
whereas agencies with more appointees among manag-
ers see shorter tenures.  e results speak to scholarship on
appointee politics and to public knowledge about the role
of appointments in American government.
President-appointed, Senate-conf‌i rmed agency
appointees play a storied role in American
government. Appointments are among the
most potent tools in both presidential and con-
gressional attempts to inf‌l uence federal agency
administration.1Appointee politics are also power-
fully contingent on agencies, policies, agendas,
personalities, and, occasionally, the intrigue for which
Washington’s “in and out” crowd is purportedly
famous.
Building on existing empirical work (McCarty and
Razaghian 1998; Wood and Marchbanks 2008),
this article explores two parameters of appointee
politics—Senate conf‌i rmation, measuring the time
between presidential nomination and Senate conf‌i r-
mation, and appointee tenure, or the appointee’s term
of service—across 2,300 Senate-conf‌i rmed agency
appointees (PAS) between 1989 and 2009. We com-
piled comprehensive data on appointments to PAS
positions in executive branch departments, single-
headed independent agencies, and Executive Of‌f‌i ce of
the President organizations during the George H. W.
Bush, Bill Clinton, and George W. Bush administra-
tions. In this article, we report the results of empirical
models that integrate and extend persistent themes in
research on the role of appointees in American gov-
ernment. Acknowledging the scope and diversity of
agency appointments, our analysis is organized around
four persistent themes in research on appointee
politics: presidential control, institutional bargaining,
appointee competence, and agency-level dynamics.
e most prominent theme in current scholarship
casts appointments as instruments of presidential con-
trol.  e twentieth-century administrative presidency
placed new emphasis on political loyalty and the
alignment of agency governance with presidential pri-
orities (Aberbach and Rockman 1988, 2000; Durant
and Resh 2010). Framing the drive for administrative
control in the language of rational choice institutional
theory, the “politicized” presidency inspired a genera-
tion of scholarship that placed appointments among
the key instruments of presidential power (Gill and
Waterman 2004; Moe 1985; Moe and Howell 1999).2
Of course, “control” constitutes dif‌f erent things across
time and circumstance. Today, we take it for granted
that a president possesses the authority to remove his
secretary of state for any reason, but the scope of the
president’s removal power has changed over time.  e
removal question prompted a historic debate by the
1st U.S. Congress (Cook 1996, 25–40). For decades,
presidents rarely tested the question.3 Over time,
agency appointments became vital sources of partisan
and presidential patronage. Plum assignments dis-
tributed to presidential allies remain a vital currency
of Washington politics—often carrying the promise
of power, prestige, and enhanced future earnings.4
Twentieth-century “personalized” presidents depended
less on traditional party organizations, and the cur-
rency of presidential appointments shifted toward per-
sonal ties and ideological alignment. A large personnel
system took form as presidents sought to centralize
Appointee Conf‌i rmation and Tenure:  e Succession of U.S.
Federal Agency Appointees, 1989–2009

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