Adolescent Illicit Drug Use and Policy Options in Australia: A Multicriteria Decision Analysis

AuthorMatthew Manning,Gabriel T. W. Wong
DOI10.1177/0022042617719444
Published date01 October 2017
Date01 October 2017
Subject MatterArticles
https://doi.org/10.1177/0022042617719444
Journal of Drug Issues
2017, Vol. 47(4) 638 –664
© The Author(s) 2017
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DOI: 10.1177/0022042617719444
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Article
Adolescent Illicit Drug Use and
Policy Options in Australia: A
Multicriteria Decision Analysis
Gabriel T. W. Wong1,2 and Matthew Manning2
Abstract
The etiology of illicit substance involvement is a multidimensional problem shaped by factors
across individual, social, and environmental domains. In this study, a multicriteria framework
is employed to incorporate the input of specialists regarding risk and protective factors and
the effectiveness of alternative interventions to mitigate the adverse harms and consequences
associated with adolescent drug initiation and subsequent use. Using a seven-stage drug use
continuum (nonuse, priming, initial use, experimental use, occasional use, regular use, and
dysfunctional use), experts rate social and environmental factors as the most important from
nonuse to occasional use. Experts often support preventive and harm-minimizing strategies to
interrupt the progression of drug involvement and accumulation of drug-related harms among
adolescents. Compared with preferable interventions, less preferable options (e.g., drug testing/
monitoring) are considered to have a negative policy impact on key social, environmental, and
drug dimension domains, which tend to override their positive impacts on other areas.
Keywords
multicriteria decision analysis, drug policy, adolescents, harm minimization, drug prevention
Introduction
Illicit drug (“drugs” hereon) use among Australian adolescents aged 14 to 19 years from 2007
until 2013 fluctuated little—from approximately 16.7% in 2007 to 17.6% in 2013 (Australian
Institute of Health and Welfare [AIHW], 2014). The 2011 Student Survey (White & Bariola,
2012) reports that 2.7% of Australian students (aged 12-17) admitted use of “any illicit substance
in their lifetime.” The average age of initiation into illicit drug use among the younger Australian
population (aged 14-24) is 16.6 years (AIHW, 2014), with young people most likely to have used
drugs for the first time due to curiosity or by introduction from a friend or family member.
Common reasons for continuation along the drug continuum (i.e., from initiation to
dysfunctional use) include “wanting to enhance experiences” and “wanting to improve mood/to
stop feeling unhappy” (AIHW, 2014).
1The Australian National University, Canberra, Australia
2Griffith University, Brisbane, Australia
Corresponding Author:
Gabriel T. W. Wong, ANU Centre for Social Research and Methods, The Australian National University, 13 Ellery
Crescent, Canberra 2601, Australia.
Email: gabriel.wong@anu.edu.au
719444JODXXX10.1177/0022042617719444Journal of Drug IssuesWong and Manning
research-article2017
Wong and Manning 639
Since 1985, Australia’s documented drug strategy has been to address the harmful use of licit
(e.g., tobacco, alcohol), illicit (e.g., heroin, cannabis), and other psychoactive substances (e.g.,
inhalants), using a harm-minimization approach. This approach embraces the three pillars of
demand, harm, and supply reduction (Ministerial Council on Drug Strategy, 2011). Harm mini-
mization seeks a balance between these elements, and is regarded as an evidence-based and
pragmatic approach (Ritter & Cameron, 2006). Although it is argued that this approach facilitates
collaboration across health, law enforcement, and education, as well as partnerships between
governments and with nongovernment agencies and community stakeholders, the majority of
attention has be placed on the supply side (e.g., police crackdowns; Mazerolle, Soole, &
Rombouts, 2006), whereas demand (e.g., educational programs) and harm reduction (e.g., needle
syringe programs [NSPs]) have been less emphasized (Ritter & McDonald, 2008).
Is this approach to reducing adolescent drug use and the associated harms the most appro-
priate? Head (2008) proposes that a three-lens approach should be adopted to synthesize
research, political, and practice-based knowledge for the development of evidence-based pol-
icy that meets the needs of different policy actors. Jones and Seelig (2004) and McDonald,
Bammer, and Deane (2009) highlight the importance of incorporating expert opinion and
knowledge of researchers and practitioners in the policy process. These experts, by virtue of
their unique skillset and knowledge, play an essential role as knowledge brokers who synthe-
size and translate existing evidence for policy makers (Goldfeld, 2010). An important role is
also filled by advisory councils and committees, which, with experts, contribute with regard to
knowledge translation and policy input (Bronitt, 2010; Hobbs & Hamerton, 2014). For instance,
the developing mechanism of expert committees and expert advice contributed significantly in
the process of remedicalizing cannabis in the United Kingdom since the mid-20th century
(Taylor, 2016).
Although expert knowledge is only one influence on the complex policy decision-making
processes and other inputs (e.g., voices of the affected community [young people]) should also
be included and weighed up in policy deliberation (see Ritter, 2015), we argue that experts and
practitioners (as key opinion leaders) tend to represent influential voices that are capable of
affecting the public. In other words, when expert beliefs, interests, or opinion are not appropri-
ately accommodated or recognized in the policy decision-making process, these unaccommo-
dated views may be translated into objections (or public social rejections) toward a given policy.
Preventing or avoiding public and social objections of a policy can be crucial as such a prefer-
ence plays an important and significant role for shaping policy, and ultimately determines the
success of policies (including policies designed to curb the illicit drug problem; Matthew-
Simmons, Love, & Ritter, 2008; Zureik, Stalker, & Smith, 2006). We believe the understanding
of these views and how they are formed can provide insights for policy makers for more efficient
policy making and its implementation.
Several knowledge translation models have been used to facilitate the synthesis, dissemina-
tion, exchange, and application of expert knowledge to address important policy questions in the
drug sector (e.g., Bammer, 2005; Manning, Wong, Ransley, & Smith, 2016; McDonald et al.,
2009; Nutt, King, & Phillips, 2010). Two key set of methods, the dialogue methods and the mul-
ticriteria decision (MCD) modeling, have been assessed and/or applied to synthesise expert opin-
ion and knowledge to analyze drug policy. For example, McDonald et al. (2009) provide a
methodological overview of dialogue methods with an application of some selected methods to
a hypothetical policy problem of the use of illegal amphetamines by young people. With regard
to the application of MCD modeling, Nutt et al. (2010) assess the harms caused by the misuse of
a range of drugs in the United Kingdom by applying the MCD modeling. Saaty (2015) applies
the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), an MCD analysis method, to analyze the legalization of
marijuana via evaluating its benefits, opportunities, costs, and risks. Manning, Ransley, Smith,
Mazerolle, and Cook (2013) and Manning et al. (2016) illustrate the use of the AHP to

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