Why Making Voting Easier Isn’t Enough: Early Voting, Campaigns, and Voter Turnout
Published date | 01 July 2024 |
DOI | http://doi.org/10.1177/1532673X241253808 |
Author | Brian T. Hamel,Jan Leighley,Robert M. Stein |
Date | 01 July 2024 |
Article
American Politics Research
2024, Vol. 52(4) 343–354
© The Author(s) 2024
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DOI: 10.1177/1532673X241253808
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Why Making Voting Easier Isn’t Enough: Early
Voting, Campaigns, and Voter Turnout
Brian T. Hamel
1
, Jan Leighley
2
, and Robert M. Stein
3
Abstract
Early voting laws intended to increase voter turnout seem to have had little to no effect on turnout. Why? We argue that the
effects of early voting on turnout are contingent on campaigns providing citizens with information about the election, their
choices, and how to vote early. When campaigns do so, turnout increases because citizens are more likely to vote –and more
likely to vote early. Using individual-level panel data, we show that direct campaign contact increases turnout exclusively via the
use of early voting. Using county-level data, we show that campaign ad volume also increases turnout via an increase in early
voting turnout. Our results affirm our expectation that campaigns facilitate the expected mobilizing effects of early voting. At the
same time, the effects of campaigns on early voting are small in magnitude, and emerge only under campaign mobilization
conditions that are more the exception than the norm.
Keywords
early voting, campaigns, convenience voting, campaign ads
Over the last 50 years, many states have adopted election laws
to make voting easier for citizens. One of the most widely
adopted laws is in-person early voting,
1
which allows eligible
citizens to cast their ballot over the days and weeks prior to
Election Day. By increasing the time available to vote,
proponents believed that individuals otherwise unlikely to
vote would be more likely to cast a ballot by voting early. The
logic is simple: reduce the costs of voting, and more citizens
will vote. Yet, the most common empirical finding is that the
adoption of in-person early voting has no effect on overall
turnout (e.g., Berinsky, 2005;Fitzgerald, 2005;Gronke et al.,
2007;Larocca & Klemanski, 2011), or perhaps may even
lower it (Burden et al., 2014).
These counterintuitive findings about the effects of early
voting on turnout lead us to take a step back, and instead to
ask why some citizens choose to vote early in the first place,
and why others do not. That is, what factors or conditions, if
any, predict the use of early voting? We believe answering
this question can both provide insight as to why early voting
availability is not consistently associated with greater overall
turnout, and establish the condition(s) under which making
early voting available might actually produce higher levels of
turnout.
Drawing on Berinsky (2005), we argue that the
adoption and availability of early voting on its own is not
enough to get non-voters to use early voting and in turn
increase turnout. Central to our argument is the obser-
vation that while voting early may reduce the direct costs
of voting (i.e., the actual time and effort it takes to acquire
and cast a ballot), it does not reduce the informational
costs of voting, e.g., awareness and knowledge about the
election, the candidates and issues on the ballot, or
awareness of how to vote early. If a citizen is unaware of
the election or does not know who or what is on the ballot,
the convenience of early voting is irrelevant to getting
them to the polls. And if a citizen does not know how to
vote early, they cannot do so.
We argue that candidates and their campaigns are well-
positioned to lower those informational costs an d therefore,
to increase turnout via the use of early voting. It is well-
documented that campaigns are the primary way that cit-
izens learn about the election and their choices (Freedman
et al., 2004;Hill & Leighley, 1993;Holbrook & McClurg,
2005;Rosenstone & Hansen, 1993;Vavreck, 2009).
Campaigns can also inform citizens about how to vote early
and are incentivized to encourage their backers to do so.
When these informational costs are reduced, we anticipate
1
University of North Texas, Denton, TX, USA
2
American University, Washington, DC, USA
3
Rice University, Houston, TX, USA
Corresponding Author:
Brian T. Hamel, University of North Texas, 1155 Union Circle #305340,
Denton, TX 76203-1277, USA.
Email: Brian.Hamel@unt.edu
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