U.S./Japan conference on aging.
Position | "The Economics of Aging" |
U.S./Japan Conference on Aging
The National Bureau of Economic Research and the Japan Center for Economic Research jointly sponsored a conference on "The Economics of Aging" in Tokyo on September 8 and 9. The program was:
Laurence J. Kotlikoff, NBER and Boston University,
"Some Macroeconomic Implications of Aging
Populations"
Discussant: Yasushi Iwamoto, Osaka University
Yukio Noguchi, Hitotsubashi University,
"Macroeconomic Implications of Population Aging"
Discussant: James H. Stock, NBER and Harvard
University
Michael D. Hurd, NBER and State University of New
York at Stony Brook, "The Economic Status of the
Elderly in the United States"
Discussant: Toshiaki Tachibanaki, Kyoto University
Noriyuki Takayama, Hitotsubashi University,
"Household Asset and Wealth Holdings in Japan"
Discussant: Michael D. Hurd
Daniel McFadden, NBER and MIT, "Problems of
Housing the Elderly in the United States"
Discussant: Miki Seko, Nihon University
Seiritsu Ogura, Saitama University, "Cost of Aging:
Public Finance Perspective for Japan"
Discussant: Laurence J. Kotlikoff
Alan M. Garber, NBER and Stanford University,
"Financing Health Care for Elderly Americans in the
1990s"
Discussant: Hiroo Urushi, Sophia University
Shuzo Nishimura, Kyoto University, "Health Care
Demand by the Elderly in the Japanese Growing
Economy"
Discussant: Martin Feldstein, NBER and Harvard
University
Robin Lumsdaine, Harvard University, and David A.
Wise, NBER and Harvard University, "Aging and
Labor Force Participation: A Review of Trends and
Explanations"
Discussant: Haruo Shimada, Keio University
Atsushi Seike, Keio University, "The Effect of the
Employee Pension on the Labor Supply of the
Japanese Elderly"
Discussant: Edward P. Lazear, NBER and University
of Chicago
Kotlikoff suggests that declining saving rates over the first half of the next century will be associated with higher real wage rates and more capital per worker. These increased real wages will help to absorb the significant cost of projected increases in Social Security tax rates.
Noguchi predicts that the aging of the Japanese population, which is occurring much more rapidly than the aging of the U.S. population, will lead to reduced saving in Japan. Indeed, he suggests that Japan might become a capital-importing country in the next century. Noguchi argues that over the next two decades the Japanese government should expand investment in housing and urban infrastructure; after that, it will be difficult to allocate...
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