Trade liberalization, domestic reforms, and income inequality: Evidence from Taiwan
| Published date | 01 August 2022 |
| Author | Judith Liu,Mei‐Ying Lai,Zong‐Shin Liu |
| Date | 01 August 2022 |
| DOI | http://doi.org/10.1111/rode.12875 |
1286
|
Rev Dev Econ. 2022;26:1286–1309.
wileyonlinelibrary.com/journal/rode
Received: 14 April 2020
|
Revised: 29 December 2021
|
Accepted: 8 February 2022
DOI: 10.1111/rode.12875
REGULAR ARTICLE
Trade liberalization, domestic reforms, and
income inequality: Evidence from Taiwan
JudithLiu1
|
Mei- YingLai2
|
Zong- ShinLiu3
This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution- NonCommercial- NoDerivs License, which permits
use and distribution in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, the use is non- commercial and no modifications or
adaptations are made.
© 2022 The Authors. Review of Development Economics published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
1Melbourne Institute: Applied Economic
& Social Research, Faculty of Business
and Economics, The University of
Melbourne, Parkville, Australia
2Department of Regimen and Leisure
Management, Tainan University of
Technology, Tainan City, Taiwan
3Department of Economics, Feng Chia
University, Taichung City, Taiwan
Correspondence
Judith Liu, Melbourne Institute: Applied
Economic & Social Research, Faculty of
Business and Economics, The University
of Melbourne, Level 5, FBE Building,
111 Barry Street, Parkville, Victoria 3010,
Australia.
Email: judith.liu@unimelb.edu.au
Abstract
This paper estimates the effects of trade liberalization on
household income inequality and investigates whether
trade liberalization or domestic reforms are the main
factors influencing increasing inequality in Taiwan, a
middle- income open economy. We construct an empiri-
cal model by decomposing the sources of household dis-
posable income in the quintile ratio and separate trade
partners into OECD (Organisation for Economic Co-
operation and Development) and non- OECD countries.
Using time- series data to estimate the long- run effect,
we find that net exports to OECD countries increase ine-
quality, whereas net exports to non- OECD countries in-
significantly decrease inequality. This finding diverges
from the prediction based on the Stolper– Samuelson
theorem. Overall, trade liberalization increases income
inequality, and the effect is mainly attributed to net
exports to OECD countries. Moreover, we provide evi-
dence that domestic reforms, particularly technological
progress in favor of skilled labor and industrial struc-
tural change, rather than trade liberalization, are the
main driving forces of income inequality.
KEYWORDS
income inequality, industrial structural change, middle- income
open economy, technological progress, trade liberalization
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LIU et al.
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INTRODUCTION
Since the 1980s, income inequality has increased in most countries, and trade liberalization
has also rapidly occurred. Many studies estimate the effect of trade liberalization on income
inequality using either a cross- country model (e.g., Barro,2000; IMF, 2007; Milanovic, 2005;
Reuveny & Li,2003; Savvides,1998) or an individual country model (e.g., Beyer etal.,1999; Chan
etal.,1999; Chen & Hsu,2001; Galiani & Sanguinetti, 2003; Kumar & Mishra,2008; Lai et al.,
2019; Mah, 2003; Mcnabb & Said, 2013; Sato & Fukushige, 2009; Wood, 1997). However, the
results are mixed, with some being inconsistent with the conventional Stolper– Samuelson (S– S)
theorem (Stolper & Samuelson,1941), which predicts that international trade increases the rela-
tive wage of skilled workers and decreases income inequality in developed countries, whereas it
increases the relative wage of unskilled workers and improves income inequality in developing
countries.
Rather than trade liberalization, some studies argue that domestic reforms (e.g., technolog-
ical progress and financial liberalization) might be the main driving force behind income in-
equality. Previous research has explored the effects of economic freedom on income inequality
using a cross- country model, where economic freedom can be measured by a composite index
constructed with many policy components, such as international trade, government regulations,
and taxation.1 When some or all of the policy components change over time, the economic free-
dom index may change, and therefore, economic growth and income inequality will be affected.
However, there is no consistent empirical evidence for the association between economic free-
dom and income inequality. For example, Berggren (1999) and Scully (2002) find a positive re-
lationship between economic freedom and equality. In contrast, Carter (2006) and Bergh and
Nilsson (2010) suggest that economic freedom increases inequality. It is worth noting that the
findings using this model may not be applicable to an individual country. Furthermore, using the
composite index to measure economic freedom cannot reveal the impact of a specific policy on
inequality (Carter,2006). Thus, a more thorough policy analysis in an individual country setting
is needed.
This paper aims to estimate the effects of trade liberalization on household income inequal-
ity and to investigate whether trade liberalization or domestic reforms are behind increasing
inequality in Taiwan since 1980. Taiwan adopted trade liberalization policy in the early 1980s.
Since then, trade expansion has led to economic growth. The income per capita increased rap-
idly from US$4,130 in the 1980s to US$23,131 in 2015 (National Development Council, 2016).
However, household income inequality has also increased over time. The quintile ratio of house-
hold disposable income, which is the relative disposable income of the highest 20% to the lowest
20% income households, increased from 4.2 in 1980 to more than 6.0 after 2001. In addition to
trade liberalization, the Taiwanese government has implemented various reforms since 1980.
We focus on four reforms that may have influenced income inequality: (1) amendments to in-
dustrial development policies, (2) massive expansion of higher education, (3) financial reforms,
and (4) large increases in government social welfare and social insurance expenditures. Previous
research suggests that these reforms may have a larger impact on inequality than trade liberaliza-
tion (Goldberg & Pavcnik,2007; IMF,2007).
JEL CLASSIFICATION
D30; F14; O38
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