The Silence Penalty

AuthorJeffrey Bellin
PositionProfessor, William & Mary Law School
Pages395-434
395
The Silence Penalty
Jeffrey Bellin
ABSTRACT: In every criminal trial, the defendant possesses the right to
testify. Deciding whether to exercise that right, however, is rarely easy.
Declining to testify shields defendants from questioning by the prosecutor and
normally precludes the introduction of a defendant’s prior crimes. But silence
comes at a price. Jurors penalize defendants who fail to testify by inferring
guilt from silence.
This Article explores this complex dynamic, focusing on empirical evidence
from mock juror experiments—including the results of a new 400-person
mock juror simulation conducted for this Article—and data from real trials.
It concludes that the penalty defendants suffer when they refuse to testify is
substantial, rivaling the more widely-recognized damage done to a
defendant’s trial prospects by the introduction of a criminal record. Moreover,
these two penalties work in tandem, creating a “parallel penalty” effect that
systemically diminishes the prospects of acquittal and incentivizes guilty
pleas.
The empirical evidence surveyed, including the new juror simulation, will be
of obvious interest to participants in the criminal justice system. But, as the
Article explains, the data also present a powerful indictment of the system
itself.
I.INTRODUCTION ............................................................................. 396
II. DECIDING WHETHER TO TESTIFY OR REMAIN SILENT ................... 401
A.THE PRIOR OFFENDER PENALTY ............................................... 401
B.THE SILENCE PENALTY ............................................................ 407
III.COMPARING THE PARALLEL PENALTIES: A MOCK JUROR
EXPERIMENT ................................................................................. 410
Professor, William & Mary Law School. I wish to thank Adam Gershowitz, Paula
Hannaford-Agor, Chris Slobogin, and Neil Vidmar, as well as the participants in both the
Vanderbilt Criminal Justice Roundtable and the Neighborhood Criminal Justice Roundtable at
William & Mary, for helpful comments on earlier drafts of this paper. The Institute of Bill of
Rights Law at William & Mary Law School funded the empirical study reported in this paper; the
College of William & Mary Protection of Human Subjects Commit tee approved the study. Rachel
Sollecito provided valuable research assistance.
396 IOWA LAW REVIEW [Vol. 103:395
A.EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN ........................................................... 410
B.RESULTS ................................................................................. 413
IV. DATA FROM REAL TRIA LS .............................................................. 415
A.THE NCSC “PARADOX ........................................................... 417
B.DEFENDANTS WITHOUT PRIORS: TESTIFYING V.
NON-TESTIFYING ..................................................................... 420
C.DEFENDANTS WITH PRIORS: TESTIFYING V. NON-TESTIFYING ..... 421
D.NON-TESTIFYING DEFENDANTS: PRIORS V. NO PRIORS ............... 423
E.A TOUCH OF DISCORDANT DATA .............................................. 424
V.IMPLICATIONS ............................................................................... 425
A.DEFENDANTS SHOULD TESTIFY MORE OFTEN ............................ 426
B.THE INEFFECTIVENESS OF LEGAL DOCTRINE GOVERNING
DEFENDANT TESTIMONY .......................................................... 429
C.DISTORTIONS OF JURY FACTFINDING ......................................... 429
D.INCENTIVIZING GUILTY PLEAS AND EXACERBATING
DISCRIMINATORY IMPACTS ...................................................... 431
VI. CONCLU SION ................................................................................ 433
I. INTRODUCTION
For much of American history, criminal defendants could not testify.1 In
fact, it was only a quarter century ago that the Supreme Court swept away the
last vestiges of the testimonial prohibition, belatedly recognizing a criminal
defendant’s constitutional “right to take the witness stand.”2 To justify its
atextual ruling, the Court channeled “the considered consensus of the
English-speaking world” that there could be “no rational justification for
prohibiting the sworn testimony of the accused.”3 Legal commentators
applauded. Despite regular appeals to historical intent and textual fidelity in
other contexts, judges and academics across the ideological spectrum
embrace the upstart constitutional right as an enlightened evolution, akin to
the elimination of trial by ordeal.4
1. See McGautha v. California, 402 U.S. 183, 214 (1971) (“[A]t the time of framing of the
Fifth Amendment and for many years thereafter the accused in criminal cases was not allowed to
testify in his own behalf . . . .”).
2. Rock v. Arkansas, 483 U.S. 44, 49 (1987); cf. State v. McKenzie, 303 A.2d 406, 413 (Md.
Ct. Spec. App. 1973) (“The right to testify is not constitutional, but statutory.”).
3. Rock, 483 U.S. at 50 (quoting Ferguson v. Georgia, 365 U.S. 570, 582 (1961)).
4. See United States v. Dunnigan, 507 U.S. 87, 96 (1993) (explaining in a 9-0 decision that
“[t]he right to testify on one’s own behalf in a criminal proceeding is . . . a right implicit in the
Constitution”); Riggins v. Nevada, 504 U.S. 127, 144 (1992) (Kennedy, J., concurring) (“It is well
established that the defendant has the right to testify on his own behalf, a right we have found
2018] THE SILENCE PENALTY 397
It was not always so. As reformers first ushered in an age of defendant
testimony through statutes over a century ago, critics predicted dire
consequences for the purported beneficiaries of the new right. Commenting
on his state’s newly enacted statute in 1867, Massachusetts’ Supreme Court
Justice Seth Ames argued that allowing defendant testimony would “destroy[]
the presumption of innocence.”5 In light of jurors’ inevitably negative
reaction to defendants who chose silence, Ames predicted defendants would
have “practically no option at all”; the new right will “compel the defendant to
testify” and “all will use it.”6
Judge Ames was prescient in some respects and spectacularly wrong in
others. In particular, his prediction that “all” defendants would testify did not
come to pass. In modern times, only about half of criminal defendants take
the witness stand.7 Notably, refusing to testify is not limited to guilty
defendants. Around 40% of defendants later exonerated by DNA evidence
declined to testify at their initial trials.8 As this figure indicates, defendants
with important stories to tell frequently sit silently while their attorneys plead
their case.9
essential to our adversary system.”); Ferguson, 365 U.S. at 581–83 (collecting commentary from
judges and academics); Daniel J. Capra & Joseph Tartakovsky, Why Strickland is the Wrong Test for
Violations of the Right to Testify, 70 WASH. & LEE L. REV. 95, 147 (2013) (arguing for more robust
protections of the right to testify, saying that “[w]e should simply speak of an independent ‘right
to testify,’ an undisputed guarantee ‘implicit’ in the Due Process, Self-Incrimination, and
Compulsory Process Clauses”); Richard Friedman, Character Impeachment Evidence: Psycho-Bayesian (!?)
Analysis and A Proposed Overhaul, 38 UCLA L. REV. 637, 666 (1991) (“[T]he right to testify in
one’s own defense, although of far more recent vintage than some oth er rights of a criminal
defendant, must now be considered as one of the most fundamental in our jurisprudence.”
(footnote omitted)); Raymond J. McKoski, Prospective Perjury by a Criminal Defendant: It’s All About
the Lawyer, 44 ARIZ. ST. L.J. 1575, 1642–43 (2012) (describing the right to testify as a “cherished
constitutional right[]” that is “engrained in the fabric of the legal system”).
5. Testimony of Persons Accused of Crime, 1 AM. L. REV. 443, 444 (1867). For a comprehensive
description of Judge Ames’s (and others’) objections and a discussion of the attribution of the
quoted document to Ames, see GEORGE FISHER, PLEA BARGAININGS TRIUMPH 104 & n.31 (2003).
6. Testimony of Persons Accused of Crime, supra note 5, at 444, 446.
7. See Theodore Eisenberg & Valerie P. Hans, Taking a Stand on Taking the Stand: The Effect
of a Prior Criminal Record on the Decision to Testify and on Trial Outcomes, 94 CORNELL L. REV. 1353,
1373 tbl.2 (2009) (summarizing findings from the broad study of felony trials); Gordon Van
Kessel, Adversary Excesses in the American Criminal Trial, 67 NOTRE DAME L. REV. 403, 483 (1992)
(“[I]nquiries with trial lawyers and judges lead me to believe that the extent of defendant refusals
to testify is considerable—from one-third to well over one-half in some jurisdictions.”).
8. See i nfra note 183 and accompanying text (discussing DNA-exoneration studies that
reveal a high percentage of innocent defendants who declined to testify).
9. See John H. Langbein, The Criminal Trial Before the Lawyers, 45 U. CHI. L. REV. 263, 283–84
(1978) (“It is one of the great peculiarities of modern An glo-American procedure, on which
Continental observers often remark, that we have so largely eliminated the accused as a testimonial
resource.”); Anna Roberts, Impeachment by Unreliable Conviction, 55 B.C. L. REV. 563, 575 (2014)
(summarizing the negative consequences of silent defendants); Christopher Slobogin, Lessons from
Inquisitorialism, 87 S. CAL. L. REV. 699, 707 (2014) (arguing that the American adversary system can
“contribute to inaccuracy during trial” by “prevent[ing] the factfinder from hearing from the
defendant, despite the fact that the defendant is probably the single most important source of

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