The Effects of Race and Physical Evidence on the Likelihood of Arrest for Homicide

AuthorMaria Arndt,Lisa Stolzenberg,Stewart J. D’Alessio
Published date01 October 2022
Date01 October 2022
DOIhttp://doi.org/10.1177/2153368719900358
Subject MatterArticles
Article
The Effects of Race and
Physical Evidence on the
Likelihood of Arrest
for Homicide
Maria Arndt
1
, Lisa Stolzenberg
1
, and
Stewart J. D’Alessio
1
Abstract
Previous research examining the association between criminal suspect’s race and the
likelihood of arrest has produced inconsistent findings. Social scientists remain unsure
as to whether Black or White criminal suspects have a higher probability of arrest. Still
others find no substantive association between a criminal suspect’s race and the
likelihood of arrest. This study contributes to the extant literature by examining the
relationship between a criminal suspect’s race and the arrest sanction for the crime of
homicide while controlling for the strength of physical evidence linking the criminal
suspect to the crime. Although strength of physical evidence against a defendant in a
criminal case has been repeatedly shown to be important in determining a variety of
criminal justice processing outcomes, it has typically been excluded from research
studies examining the arrest decision due to data limitations. Logistic regression
results show that Black homicide suspects are not more likely than similarly situated
White homicide suspects to be arrested by police. Results also show that Black-on-
White homicides are not more apt than other offender–victim racial combinations to
culminate in an arrest. Based on these findings, it appears that a homicide suspect’s
race does not play a noteworthy role in influencing the likelihood of arrest after
accounting for the strength of physical evidence gathered against the criminal suspect
in the case.
Keywords
race, homicide, strength of physical evidence, arrest
1
Department of Criminology and Criminal Justice, Florida International University, Miami, FL, USA
Corresponding Author:
Lisa Stolzenberg, Department of Criminology and Criminal Justice, Florida International University, 11200
SW 8th Street, PCA 253A, Miami, FL 33199, USA.
Email: stolzenb@fiu.edu
Race and Justice
ªThe Author(s) 2020
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DOI: 10.1177/2153368719900358
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2022, Vol. 12(4) 623–643
Background
The effect of criminal suspect’s race on the likelihood of arrest has been studied
extensively. It is generally accepted that Black citizens are arrested at higher rates than
Whites or any other racial group for that matter. While representing approximately
13%of the U.S. population (U.S. Census Bureau, 2018), Blacks account for 27%of
arrests for both misdemeanor and felonies. Black citizens also have an elevated
proclivity of being apprehended by the police for the crime of homicide. They account
for roughly 53%of the homicide arrests made by police (Uniform Crime Report,
2018). This figure has also remained relatively constant over time (Cooper &
Smith, 2011).
Although researchers generally agree that racial disparities exist in the use of the
arrest sanction for homicide and for most other crimes, the exact causal mechanisms
responsible for the overrepresentation of Black citizens in arrest statistics are far less
clear. Two broad perspectives have been advanced in the literature to account for the
observed racial disparity in the use of the arrest sanction. Normative theories argue
that there is simply differential criminal offending across racial groups, which in turn
accounts for the higher arrest rate for Black citizens. These types of theories usually
emphasize the differential effects of social factors such as poverty, economic
inequality, and family structure in explicating the observed racial disparity in criminal
offending (Stults & Swagar, 2018).
In contrast, conflict theory posits that the race of the criminal suspect is a relevant
determining factor in a police officer’s decision to effectuate an arrest for a given
criminal offense. It is plausible that because Blacks are more likely than Whites to
distrust police (Newport, 2014), they are more apt to show police officers disrespect
(Correll et al., 2007) and ignore orders for compliance during citizen/police
encounters (Skogan & Frydl, 2004). These factors can amplify the likelihood that a
Black criminal suspect will be arrested by police because deference shown toward a
police officer attenuates the probability of arrest (Smith & Visher, 1981). Black cit-
izens may also have an enhanced likelihood of arrest because not only of their hesi-
tancy to show deference to police, but they are perceived by many as being more
dangerous and prone to criminality than other races. Survey research also shows that
Whites frequently view Blacks in society as more violent and as being more inclined
to partake in criminal behavior than other races (Quillian & Pager, 2001). Research
also finds that Whites are more concerned with crime than other racial groups and that
this fear is amplified when linked to Blacks in urban and local jurisdictions
(Mears et al., 2009).
While deference theory is a plausible explanation for racial disparities in arrest,
there remains mixed support for this theory in the criminal justice literature. In
contrast to D. A. Smith and Visher (1981), several recent research studies find that
Black criminal suspects are not necessarily impacted negatively by police actions
(James et al., 2016; Klinger, 1996; Worrall et al., 2018). To illustrate, James et al.
(2016) employed a within-subject, repeated-measures study design to better determine
how police officers respond to realistic video scenarios where the use of deadly force
624
Race and Justice 12(4)

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