The Effect of Board Structure on Firm Disclosure and Behavior: A Case Study of Korea and a Comparison of Research Designs
| Published date | 01 June 2021 |
| Author | Bernard Black,Woochan Kim,Julia Nasev |
| Date | 01 June 2021 |
| DOI | http://doi.org/10.1111/jels.12280 |
Journal of Empirical Legal Studies
Volume 18, Issue 2, 328–376, June 2021
The Effect of Board Structure on
Firm Disclosure and Behavior: A Case
Study of Korea and a Comparison of
Research Designs
Bernard Black,*Woochan Kim, and Julia Nasev
We exploit a large legal shock to the board structure of Korean firms, using a strong
research design—combined difference-in-differences and regression discontinuity—to
study whether this board structure change affects firm financial reporting (disclosure,
MD&A length, and abnormal accruals), investment and growth (sales growth and capital
expenditures), and firm value (proxied by Tobin’s q). We also compare results from the
annual DiD/RD design to those from simpler panel and “causal”methods, and assess how
results vary across methods. We find robust evidence across methods that the shock pre-
dicts improved scores on a Disclosure Subindex, confirm prior findings of an increase in
Tobin’s q, and find some evidence for a drop in sales growth, but no convincing evidence
of significant change for other outcomes. By comparing results across methods, we illus-
trate how using multiple causal designs can provide insight into and evidence of robust-
ness not available from a single design, as well as case study evidence that panel methods,
simple DiD, and its close cousin, shock-based IV, can produce apparent false positives.
I. Introduction
We study two research questions. The first involves the effects of a shock to the board
structure of Korean firms on firm behavior. We study whether this board structure shock
affects other aspects of governance (disclosure, board procedure, shareholder rights),
financial reporting (absolute and signed abnormal accruals, MD&A length), firm
*Address correspondence to Bernard S. Black, Nicholas D. Chabraja Professor at Northwestern University School
of Law and Kellogg School of Management, 375 E. Chicago Ave., Chicago, IL 60611; email: bblack@northwestern.
edu. Kim is Professor in Finance at Korea University Business School; Nasev is Associate Professor in Accounting at
LMU Munich School of Management.
We thank seminar participants at LMU Munich School of Management (2020), McCombs School of Business
(2012), Chicago Booth School of Business (2012), participants of the Seventh International Conference on Asia-
Pacific Financial Markets (2012), American Accounting Association annual meeting (2013), Financial Management
Association annual meeting (2013), Shuping Chen, Martin Dierker, Dain Donelson, Christian Hofmann, Carsten
Homburg, Zi Jia, Christian Leuz, Jim Naughton, Joshua Ronen, Thorsten Sellhorn, and Ira Yeung for comments.
We also thank financial support by Korea University Business School.
328
financial outcomes (profitability, leverage, growth, and investment), and firm value
(proxied by Tobin’s q). We do so using a strong, “causal”research design—a design that
combines annual difference-in-differences (annual DiD) regressions with a regression dis-
continuity (RD) design, that draws strength from both design aspects. With this annual
DiD/RD benchmark design, we find evidence that the shock predicts improved scores on
a Disclosure Subindex and higher Tobin’s q, some evidence for lower sales growth, but
no significant change in the other outcomes.
We also provide case study evidence on the sensitivity of research results to choice
of research design. Finance and accounting research has moved strongly toward relying
on natural experiments, using various research designs, including (DiD) and RD sepa-
rately (not often combined), and instrumental variables (IV) with the shock as an instru-
mental variable. But natural experiments are often hard to find or answer limited
questions. Classic panel data approaches—with firm fixed effects (FE) or random effects
(RE)—are often the best available designs. We assess how our results would change if we
used either panel methods or simpler “causal”methods. The potential limitations of
panel methods, as a guide to causal effects, are known (e.g., Leamer, 1983;
LaLonde, 1986), but we know little about how important these limitations are in applied
research. We also know little about how reliable simpler causal designs are as guides to
causation, or about how results differ across methods, including different causal methods
that rely on the same shock.
We exploit a large, exogenous shock to the board structure of large, public Korean
firms (assets over 2 trillion won, about US$2 billion (2T)), with no similar shock to
smaller firms. Korean rules, adopted in 1999 following the East Asian financial crisis of
1997–1998, require large firms to have at least 50 percent outside directors, an audit com-
mittee (with at least two-thirds outside directors and an outside chair), and an outside
director nominating committee (with at least 50 percent outside directors). Before the
rules were adopted, essentially no Korean firm had any of these governance elements.
Thus, this legal shock strongly affects two core governance institutions—outside directors
and audit committees. Prior research has found that the shock strongly affects the market
value of Korean firms, reflected in both share prices and Tobin’s q(Black et al., 2006;
Black & Kim, 2012).
For the first research goal, we find evidence that this shock leads to higher scores
for a “Disclosure Subindex,”but no evidence for a significant change in other aspects of
firm governance (a Board Procedure Subindex or a Shareholder Rights Subindex) or
other aspects of disclosure (signed and absolute abnormal accruals, and word length of
the management’s discussion and analysis (MD&A) section of annual reports). Turning
to financial outcomes, we confirm prior findings that the board structure shock predicts
higher Tobin’s q(Black & Kim 2012), and find some (less than definitive) evidence of a
drop in sales growth, but no overall evidence of significant change in other outcomes,
including profitability measured by return on assets (ROA), or investment (measured by
capital expenditures and research and development spending (R&D)). This evidence,
taken as a whole, is consistent with independent directors and audit committees having a
real, although modest, effect on selected aspects of firm behavior.
The Effect of Board Structure on Firm Disclosure and Behavior 329
For the methods goal, true causal effects are unknown and, as with any case study,
our results may not generalize to other settings. However, the Korean shock provides
an unusually “clean”shock. It is plausibly exogenous (the 2T threshold is apparently
arbitrary), it strongly alters board structure, and it occurs at a specific point in time.
1
We compare assumed “truth”from our benchmark an nual DiD/RD design t o results
from simpler “causal”designs—including “simple Di D”(comparing after to before the
shock), annual DiD, RD, and instrumental variables (IV) using the shock as an
instrument.
With regard to whether our benchmark design can recover approximate truth,
studies across different fields provide evidence that RD can often recover results close to
those from a randomized experiment.
2
From a theoretical perspective, within a band-
width around the discontinuity, one can treat the RD sample as if it came from a random-
ized experiment, with the running variable providing the assignment mechanism that
determines which units are treated (Mattei & Mealli 2016). Combining RD with DiD
addresses a principal limitation of RD, that results are valid only near the discontinuity
(Mealli & Rampichini 2012), and permits use of a broader bandwidth, which increases
sample size and power. Using a combined DiD/RD design also allows us to relax the
usual RD assumption of similar levels between treated and control and rely instead on
the weaker DiD assumption of parallel changes (parallel trends). Using annual DiD allows
one to assess whether the treatment effect appears when it should relative to the shock,
and whether there are nonparallel pretreatment trends that could explain an apparent
treatment effect. Thus, our benchmark annual DiD/RD design provides a reasonable
basis for comparison with other methods. Moreover, given the rarity of true randomized
experiments in finance and accounting, we know of no other way to address the reliabil-
ity of results across different research design.
We compare results from the benchmark design to simpler causal designs and to
panel data designs using either firm fixed effects (FE) or random effects (RE). Overall,
as we move from our benchmark design to annual DiD alone (which we view as the next
strongest design if RD is not available) to other causal designs, firm FE, and finally to
firm RE, there is a general tendency for more outcomes to become statistically significant.
We term these results “apparent”false positives. We do not know the true causal effect,
and it is possible that a significant result with firm FE measures the true causal effect, but
a firm FE result is not convincing given insignificance from stronger designs. Similarly, a
simple-DiD result is not convincing if not supported by the annual DiD analysis (if,
e.g., the annual analysis shows nonparallel pretreatment trends).
For our methods goal—assessing whether results are consistent across methods—
there is no clear winner in terms of not generating apparent false positives. However, sim-
ple DiD is a clear loser—it generates more apparent false positives than other causal
1
We discuss below other limitations of this setting. A principal concern is limits on statistical power due to the
modest number of Korean firms above the 2T size threshold.
2
Buddelmeyer and Skoufias (2004); Black et al. (2007); Cook and Wong (2008); Cook et al. (2008); Green
et al. (2009); Berk et al. (2010); Shadish et al. (2011); Gleason et al. (2012); Moss et al. (2014).
330 Black et al.
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