The Consequences of Militarized Policing for Human Rights: Evidence from Mexico
| Published date | 01 March 2024 |
| DOI | http://doi.org/10.1177/00104140231168362 |
| Author | Gustavo Flores-Macías,Jessica Zarkin |
| Date | 01 March 2024 |
| Subject Matter | Articles |
Article
Comparative Political Studies
2024, Vol. 57(3) 387–418
© The Author(s) 2023
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DOI: 10.1177/00104140231168362
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The Consequences of
Militarized Policing for
Human Rights: Evidence
from Mexico
Gustavo Flores-Mac´
ıas
1
and Jessica Zarkin
2
Abstract
What are the consequences of the militarization of public safety? Govern-
ments increasingly rely on militaries for policing, but the systematic study of
this phenomenon’s consequences for human rights has been neglected. NGO
and journalistic accounts point to widespread violations by the military, but
these snapshots do not necessarily present evidence of systematic abuse.
Based on unique data on military deployments and human rights complaints in
Mexico, we conduct a systematic, country-wide study of the consequences of
constabularization for human rights. Following matching and difference-in-
difference strategies, we find that it leads to a 150% increase in complaints
against federal security forces. We also leverage deployments for disaster-
relief operations and complaints against non-security institutions to show that
the increase is not due to underlying conditions or higher reporting in the
military’s presence. The findings have important implications for our un-
derstanding of quality of democracy and the democratic ideals of civilian
policing.
Keywords
Latin America, human rights, police militarization, Mexico
1
Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, USA
2
Claremont McKenna College, Claremont, CA, USA
Corresponding Author:
Jessica Zarkin, Government, Claremont McKenna College, 888 N Columbia Ave, Claremont, CA
91711, USA.
Email: jzarkin@cmc.edu
The militarization of law enforcement is increasingly prevalent across the
world. It has taken the form of police becoming like the armed forces in their
tactics, weapons, and organization, as well as militaries taking on domestic
policing. There is a growing body of research focusing on the consequences of
this policy. In particular, several studies focusing on the United States suggest
that the militarization of police has failed to reduce crime or improve officer
safety (Gunderson et al., 2021;Lowande, 2021;Mummolo, 2018), but others
point to favorable outcomes (Bove & Gavrilova, 2017;Harris et al., 2017). In
the developing world, some studies suggest that the policy is counterpro-
ductive for counter-insurgency outcomes (De Bruin, 2021) and in countries
where the armed forces have been constabularized,
1
as in Latin America (Blair
& Weintraub, 2021;Flores-Mac´
ıas, 2018;Flores-Mac´
ıas & Zarkin, 2021b;
Gan, 2020;Magaloni & Rodr´
ıguez, 2020;Osorio, 2015). In the context of the
so-called drug wars against organized crime, which have claimed more than
300,000 lives and 73,000 disappeared in Mexico alone, this research has
pointed to greater levels of violence, obstacles to police reform, and lower tax
collection as consequences of militarization.
Although existing research has made important strides to understand the
effects of constabularization, its consequences for human rights remain un-
derstudied. This gap is problematic primarily for two reasons. First, NGO
reports suggest that the military routinely engage in human rights violations in
Latin America (e.g., Human Rights Watch, 2019), but these accounts have yet
to systematically evaluate the armed forces’performance. Second, this se-
curity policy is highly popular among Latin American publics (Flores-Mac´
ıas
& Zarkin, 2021a). Thus, if constabularization does increase abuses by the
state, then this security strategy poses a considerable paradox for democracy
in the region. One of the fundamental principles of democracy is state re-
sponsiveness (Dahl, 1972). However, responsiveness in this arena through
constabularization might entail negating another essential aspect: protecting
human rights.
To examine the consequences of the constabularization of the armed forces
for the protection of human rights, we rely on subnational evidence from
Mexico, where the armed forces have been constabularized in large swaths of
the national territory since the end of 2006. We obtained data—after winning
several appeals to the government’s denial of right-to-information requests
through the National Institute for Transparency, Access to Information, and
Personal Data Protection (INAI)—on both military deployments and human
rights complaints at the municipal level.
Based on matching and difference-in-difference strategies for time-series
cross-sectional data (Imai et al., 2021) that compare the rate of human rights
complaints in geographical units where constabularization took place with
similar units without constabularization, we find that constabularization leads
to a higher prevalence of human rights abuse complaints.
2
By estimating the
388 Comparative Political Studies 57(3)
Average Treatmenton the Treated (ATT), we find that the rate (per 100,000) of
serious human rights abuse complaints against federal security agencies in
constabularized municipalities is .42 higher in the first year and between .43
and .61 in three subsequent years of military involvement in domestic po-
licing, compared to non-constabularized municipalities. These effects rep-
resent yearly increases of between 150% and 218%.
Additionally, we leverage data from the armed forces’disaster-relief
missions to show that human rights complaints increase as a result of the
military’s role in law enforcement, but not when the military is deployed for
other purposes.
3
Municipalities in which the armed forces were deployed to
provide natural disaster relief did not register differences in the rate of
complaints compared to municipalities without military presence. We also
leverage complaints filed against the Mexican Social Security Institute
(IMSS)—the non-security sector federal agency with the most complaints—as
a placebo test to show that the increase in abuse complaints against federal
security forces is a function of constabularization and not due to municipality-
specific underlying trends or characteristics, such as civil society’s ability to
report.
These findings make important contributions to the literatures on the
politics of policing, in general, and the militarization of public safety, in
particular. They also have broad implications for public policy and the
protection of human rights. The results highlight the pitfalls related to the
blurring of the line between the police and the military for law enforcement
and raise concerns regarding politicians’dismissal of the democratic ideals of
civilian policing in pursuit of expedient, yet ineffective solutions to rising
crime in Latin America. Lastly, they highlight the importance of police reform
and productive police-citizen interactions.
The Military’s Respect for Human Rights
The literature on militaries’domestic human rights violations has focused on
civil-military relations during authoritarian rule and counter-insurgency op-
erations. In the first case, the emphasis has been on civil society’s struggles to
bring militaries to justice (Loveman, 1998;Pion-Berlin and Arceneaux, 1998)
and the role that truth and reconciliation commissions played in transitions to
democracy (Heinz and Frühling, 1999;Hunter, 1996;Pion-Berlin, 1994). In
the second case, attention has focused on the armed forces’atrocities during
civil wars and campaigns against guerrilla groups in the developing world
(e.g., Cornell & Roberts, 1990;Mayka, 2016).
Although existing research has made important contributions to our un-
derstanding of the nexus between militaries and human rights in those
contexts, the consequences of constabularized militaries for human rights in
domestic policing remain largely unexplored. This may be because militaries
Flores-Mac´
ıas and Zarkin 389
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