Red Alert: How China's Growing Prosperity Threatens the American Way of Life.

AuthorSweeney, Paul
PositionBOOKSHELF

If Paul Revere were alive today, our Revolutionary War hero would likely be riding through the American countryside, sounding the alarm: "The Chinese are coming. The Chinese are coming."

Which is essentially the tone that Stephen Leeb adopts in Red Alert, a provocative prophesy with the semi-apocalyptic subtitle, "How China's Growing Prosperity Threatens the American Way of Life." The U.S and China, he argues, are locked in a bitter struggle for global economic dominance. Yet neither the U.S.'s political and corporate leadership nor the American public seems to be aware of the struggle, much less girded for battle.

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The conflict will largely be fought over energy, materials and natural resources. As global supplies of fossil fuels grow increasingly scarce as well as environmentally more dangerous--"peak oil has arrived," Leeb writes, "and peak coal isn't far behind" --the world will perforce turn to an array of alternative energy sources and conservation measures. But even as we begin to build and operate solar panels, wind turbines, battery-driven electric cars and even energy-saving fluorescent light bulbs, the Chinese are beating us to the punch.

The Chinese expect to meet 15-20 percent of all their energy needs with alternative sources by 2020. At the same time, they are stockpiling a stunning array of important metals, minerals and rare earth elements (REEs). China's leaders, writes Leeb, are cleverly using the environment as a cover for their actions, hewing to a strategy ordained 26 centuries ago by Sun Tzu, the legendary general, philosopher and author of The Art of War: "The enlightened ruler lays his plans well ahead; the good general cultivates his resources."

Written with colleague Gregory Dorsey and impressively researched, Leeb--whose credentials include a B.S. in Economics from the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania, a Master's degree in Mathematics and a Doctorate in Psychology, authorship of seven books and manager of a New York investment fund--shows how systematically the Chinese have cached copper, silver, lithium and even iron and steel. They have moved aggressively into African countries, Afghanistan and elsewhere in a "global land grab." And they are hoarding their own rare earth elements.

Consider the case of copper. The scarcest of major metals, copper is a vital component of windmills, high-voltage cables, home construction and hybrid cars. Along with building up its inventory of...

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