Punishing with impunity: the legacy of risk classification assessment in immigration detention

AuthorRobert Koulish/Kate Evans
PositionFull Research Professor and Director of MLAW Programs at University of Maryland, and Lecturer at Law at Francis King Carey School of Law, Baltimore, MD. B.A. University of Pennsylvania; Ph.D. University of Wisconsin/Clinical Professor of Law and Director, Immigrant Rights Clinic, Duke University School of Law; B.A., Brown University; J.D. New ...
Pages1-72
ARTICLES
PUNISHING WITH IMPUNITY: THE LEGACY OF
RISK CLASSIFICATION ASSESSMENT IN
IMMIGRATION DETENTION
ROBERT KOULISH* AND KATE EVANS**
ABSTRACT
In 2012, the Department of Homeland Security adopted a risk classification
assessment (RCA) tool to run on migrants in the custody of Immigration and
Customs Enforcement (ICE). The risk tool helped determine who was
detained and who was released from ICE custody. It was intended to curb
detention rates by limiting detention based on risk of flight and danger and to
ensure that the conditions of civil immigration detention were distinct from
those in criminal detention. This Article presents data from several RCA data-
sets received pursuant to the Freedom of Information Act.
The story of the RCA is one of manipulation, subversion, and bias. In this
study, we examine the RCA’s outcomes for migrants with special vulnerabil-
ities, migrants subject to mandatory detention, and migrants eligible for bond
* Full Research Professor and Director of MLAW Programs at University of Maryland, and Lecturer
at Law at Francis King Carey School of Law, Baltimore, MD. B.A. University of Pennsylvania; Ph.D.
University of Wisconsin. I wish to thank the 2019 Law and Society Association Meetings in Washington
DC, the Section 002 audience in particular, for helpful comments, my colleague Ernesto Calvo for in-
formative discussions, Jose Cabezas for consultation and research assistance, and Kelsey Drotning,
Elbereth Fernandez, Kee Hyun Park, and George Shalloway for research assistance. I also wish to thank
colleagues attending annual Law & Society meetings and the CINETS International Crimmigration
Network for their helpful comments at roundtables, panel presentations and during informal conversa-
tions, and reviewers. © 2021, Robert Koulish and Kate Evans.
** Clinical Professor of Law and Director, Immigrant Rights Clinic, Duke University School of
Law; B.A., Brown University; J.D. New York University School of Law. I thank Linus Chan, Ben
Casper, Mark Noferi, and the remarkable pro bono counsel team from Dorsey & Whitney LLP led by
Shannon Bjorklund and Colin Wicker who litigated our FOIA requests. I would also like to thank partici-
pants at the 2021 Border Criminologies conference and the UNC-Duke Law Clinical Scholarship
Workshop for their support and helpful feedback. I am indebted to Natalie Pate and Andrew Lindsay for
their invaluable research assistance throughout this project and to Christine Mullen for making this
Article possible. Thanks to the incredible editors at the Georgetown Immigration Law Journal for their
careful review and guidance in publishing this research.
1
and release. We demonstrate that over time the risk tool recommended
release or bond for fewer and fewer categories. Further, ICE officers’ puni-
tive use of detention defeated attempts at top-down reform and resulted in
detention without bond for nearly every migrant.
As the Biden administration faces mounting criticism over its detention policy,
our results amplify calls to shift the paradigm in immigration enforcement and
to eliminate the use of detention as the predominant method of immigration
control.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
INTRODUCTION ......................................... 3
I. THE FRAMEWORK FOR THE RCA . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
A. The Legal Parameters for Immigration Detention . . . . . . . 9
B. The Operation of the RCA within the Immigration Detention
System . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
C. The Role of the RCA in the Crimmigration Narrative . . . . . 15
II. DATA AND METHODOLOGY: ICE DETENTION DECISIONS IN THREE
DATASETS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
III. FINDINGS: WIDESPREAD DETENTION OF VULNERABLE AND LOWER
RISK MIGRANTS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26
A. People with Special Vulnerabilities: Underreported and
Largely Detained . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27
B. Mandatory Detention: Congressionally Imposed Custody of
Lower Risk Migrants. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32
C. Subverting the RCA Into a Tool of Punishment . . . . . . . . . 35
1. Algorithmic Bias: Subversion from the Top . . . . . . . . 36
2. Officer Bias: Subversion from the Bottom . . . . . . . . . 56
3. The Loss of Algorithmic Fairness Due to Algorithmic
Bias . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62
IV. THE IMPLICATIONS OF THE RCA’S RESULTS FOR DETENTION POLICY
UNDER THE BIDEN ADMINISTRATION ....................... 63
A. People With Special Vulnerabilities. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64
B. The Scope of Mandatory Detention . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66
2 GEORGETOWN IMMIGRATION LAW JOURNAL [Vol. 36:1
C. The Future of the RCA . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67
D. The Nature of Immigration Enforcement and the Use of
Detention .................................... 69
CONCLUSION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71
INTRODUCTION
The Biden administration took office amid promises to promote racial jus-
tice, decarceration, and a humane approach to immigration enforcement.
1
A
flurry of executive orders and policy memoranda announced the administra-
tion’s efforts toward each goal.
2
However, immigrants as well as their fami-
lies and advocates have watched a disturbing increase in the number of
people detained.
3
Indeed, rather than reversing course from the Trump
administration predecessor, these commitments appeared to be sidelined.
4
This increase portends a return to the detention policies of the Obama and
Trump administrations: mass incarceration of Black, Latinx, and Asian
migrants
5
under the guise of risk mitigation.
Since 2012, the decision to detain or release someone after an arrest for an
immigration violation has been guided by the Risk Classification Assessment
1. See The Biden Plan for Securing Our Values as a Nation of Immigrants, BIDEN HARRIS
DEMOCRATS, https://perma.cc/NE66-QTAP; The Biden Plan to Build Back Better by Advancing Racial
Equity across the American Economy, BIDEN HARRIS DEMOCRATS, https://perma.cc/5DK2-94LB; The
Biden Plan for Strengthening America’s Commitment to Justice, BIDEN HARRIS DEMOCRATS, https://
perma.cc/4T5F-XRU8; Lisa Lerer, Biden’s Sky-High Promises on Racial Justice, N.Y. TIMES (Apr. 24,
2021), https://perma.cc/9UE2-UNVU.
2. E.g., Advancing Racial Equity and Support for Underserved Communities through the Federal
Government, Exec. Order No. 13,985, 86 Fed. Reg. 7009 (Jan. 20, 2021); Revision of Civil Immigration
Enforcement Policies and Priorities, Exec. Order No. 13,993, 86 Fed. Reg. 7051 (Jan. 20, 2021);
Reforming Our Incarceration System to Eliminate the Use of Privately Operated Criminal Detention
Facilities, Exec. Order No. 14,006, 86 Fed. Reg. 7483 (Jan. 26, 2021); Establishment of Interagency Task
Force on the Reunification of Families, Exec. Order No. 14,011, 86 Fed. Reg. 8273 (Feb. 2, 2021).
3. JORGE LOWEREE & AARON REICHLIN-MELNICK, AM. IMMIGR. COUNCIL, TRACKING THE BIDEN
AGENDA ON IMMIGRATION ENFORCEMENT 22–23 (2021), https://perma.cc/3LES-5L6Z; Hamed Aleaziz,
The Number of Immigrants Jailed by ICE Has Ballooned under Biden This Year, BUZZFEED NEWS (June
29, 2021, 6:17 PM), https://perma.cc/K3VM-GXE8; Philip Marcelo & Gerald Herbert, Immigrant
Detentions Soar Despite Biden’s Campaign Promises, ASSOCIATED PRESS (Aug. 5, 2021), https://perma.
cc/2TVU-5MRQ; NATL IMMIGRANT JUST. CTR., ROADMAP TO DISMANTLE THE U.S. IMMIGRATION
DETENTION SYSTEM, (2021), https://perma.cc/S28L-ZZBX.
4. LOWEREE & REICHLIN-MELNICK, supra note 3, at 18–24; Walter Ewing, Biden’s Actions on
Immigration Enforcement Have Been Inconsistent Since Taking Office, IMMIGR. IMPACT (May 20, 2021),
https://perma.cc/MFS5-7PGU.
5. This Article uses the word migrantsthroughout to avoid both the legal significance of the word
immigrantand the offensive nature of the term alien,which is still used in the Immigration and
Nationality Act (INA). See generally MAI NGAI, Introduction, in IMPOSSIBLE SUBJECTS: ILLEGAL
ALIENS AND THE MAKING OF MODERN AMERICA (2d ed. 2014). In April 2021, both ICE and CBP issued
memorandums instructing agency officials to use preferred terminology and inclusive language,align-
ing communications practices with the Biden administration’s guidance. See Memorandum from Tae
Johnson, Acting Dir., U.S. Immigr. & Customs Enf’t, to ICE Leadership, Updated Terminology for
Communications and Materials (Apr. 19, 2021); Memorandum from Troy A. Miller, Senior Off.
Performing Duties of the Comm’r, U.S. Customs & Border Prot., Updated Terminology for CBP
Communications and Materials (Apr. 19, 2021); see also Memorandum from Jean King, Acting Dir.,
Exec. Off. For Immigr. Review, Terminology (July 26, 2021).
2021] PUNISHING WITH IMPUNITY 3

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