New Financing for Sustainable Development

DOI10.1177/1070496516687344
AuthorShunsuke Managi,Rintaro Yamaguchi
Date01 June 2017
Published date01 June 2017
Subject MatterArticles
Article
New Financing for
Sustainable Development:
The Case for
NNP- or Inclusive
Wealth–Linked Bonds
Rintaro Yamaguchi
1
and Shunsuke Managi
2
Abstract
We propose that national governments could issue bonds whose interest payments
are linked to green net national product (gNNP) or, almost equivalently, to inclusive
wealth. The main intention of this new financial instrument is to entice investors and
the national government to invest in human and natural capital for which the cor-
responding financial assets currently do not exist. As the concept of wealth expands
to include human and natural capital, so should the corresponding assets side in the
balance sheet of nations. While the argument for gross national product (GNP)–
linked bonds focuses on trimming public debt toward fiscal sustainability, the pro-
posed bonds aim to ensure long-term sustainability. The theoretical link associated
with welfare economics is also more plausible. Moreover, it could lead to the virtu-
ous cycle of increased government expenditure directed toward inclusive wealth,
expanding tax revenue, increased coupon payment to investors, and increased social
well-being.
Keywords
inclusive wealth, genuine savings, sustainable development, gross domestic
product–linked bond, net national product (NNP)
Journal of Environment &
Development
2017, Vol. 26(2) 214–239
!The Author(s) 2017
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DOI: 10.1177/1070496516687344
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1
Urban Institute, Kyushu University, Japan
2
Urban Institute and Graduate School of Engineering, Kyushu University, Japan
Corresponding Author:
Rintaro Yamaguchi, Urban Institute, Kyushu University, 744 Motooka, Nishi-ku,
Fukuoka 819-0395, Japan.
Email: rintaro.yamaguchi@gmail.com
Many attempts have been made lately to assess sustainable development of
nations by indicators of broadened notion of wealth. Wealth in common par-
lance refers to f‌inancial assets, but in the burgeoning literature of sustainable
development, it is inclusive of all capital stocks that are of relevance to human
well-being, from present to future generations. This would include not only
manufactured capital (physical infrastructure, houses, plant, and machinery),
human capital (educational attainment and health embodied in each individual),
and natural capital (forests, agricultural land, and f‌ishery) but could be extended
at least conceptually to social capital (trust and networks) and institutions
(transparent and democratic politics), in line with debates on sustainable devel-
opment in general (Cle
´menc¸ on, 2012). Whether wealth in this sense is to be
recognized by a larger audience hinges on to what extent macroeconomic
policy makers would strike a balance between short-term economic performance
and long-term sustainability. Indeed, the authors of a recent report on using an
inclusive wealth index as an indicator of sustainability suggested that such indi-
cators should be ‘‘mainstreamed’’ in the discussion on macroeconomic policy
making (UNU-IHDP & UNEP, 2012).
However, such mainstreaming looks unlikely at present. One reason for this
neglect of sustainability in the macroeconomic policymaking community is that,
on one hand, the latter targets traditional economic indices such as interest rates,
inf‌lation, unemployment, and gross national product (GNP), all of which do not
seem to have much to do with the environment. On the other hand, the literature
on sustainable development is focused on nondeclining social well-being in the
long run and thus the trend in wealth in a broad sense. As elaborated later, this
wealth in a broad sense is often referred to as inclusive wealth
1
and is made up
basically of manufactured, human, and natural capital. Given that macroeco-
nomic policy makers and sustainability proponents have dif‌ferent objectives and
time scales, it is no wonder that sustainability indicators are not mainstreamed in
macroeconomics.
A next natural question is that, if, as a thought experiment, policymakers also
cared about nondeclining social well-being and sustainability, what should they
do to achieve their goals? Obviously, increasing public and private projects in
manufactured, human, and natural capital is a proximate answer to this ques-
tion, but we immediately face the question of ‘‘how.’’
Given that inclusive wealth (and hence manufactured, human, and natural
capital) is a stock concept, unlike interest rates, inf‌lation, unemployment, and
GNP, one aspect to consider is to think of a country’s balance sheet, which is a
snapshot of stock of assets and liabilities of that nation. The liabilities side
represents how the assets side has been f‌inanced. For example, conventional
manufactured capital employed in private f‌irms is usually f‌inanced by corporate
debt or shareholders’ equity. On the contrary, public infrastructure and other
physical capital are f‌inanced by public debt or tax revenue. As this balance sheet
is expanded to include human and natural capital, along with manufactured
Yamaguchi and Managi 215

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