La naturaleza no da saltos.
Author | Gutiérrez, Santiago |
[ILUSTRACIÓN OMITIR]
La naturaleza no da saltos. Es la frase que usan los científicos cuando quieren decir que los fenómenos sociales no proceden a saltos, sino que se mueven de forma continua. Los hechos que nos sorprenden, muchas veces son el resultado de tendencias que se han fraguado y han evolucionado, lentamente, durante mucho tiempo. Nos toman por sorpresa tal vez porque mientras se desarrollan hemos estado mirando en la dirección equivocada. Por eso conviene andar atento a esos grandes movimientos que no son siempre tan visibles, pero que no por eso son menos inevitables.
Esta edición está llena de tendencias que transformarán a la región.
En servicios financieros, el CEO del Banco Itaú, Roberto Setubal, explicó para los lectores de Latin Trade, cómo la regulación de la última versión del acuerdo de Basilea aumentó los requerimientos de capital de los bancos de una forma tal que modificará completamente el negocio de este sector en todo el mundo. Los bancos dejarán de ofrecer productos y se saldrán de países en los cuales no puedan hacer la utilidad suficiente para cubrir los costos del capital aumentado por las normas. Esa salida de algunos servicios y regiones les abre una oportunidad de entrada a entidades no bancadas, que no necesitan mantener el capital que se les pide a los bancos.
En comercio, encontramos que América Latina es una de las regiones más atractivas del planeta para invertir en comercio minorista. Pero además que hay varias fuerzas que harán crecer en el futuro la demanda para los productos que ofrecen las cadenas comerciales. La aparición de la clase media es la más conocida, pero también están el auge de las compras en línea, la creciente independencia...
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