Microfinance competition and multiple borrowing: Evidence using panel data from Bangladesh
| Published date | 01 May 2022 |
| Author | Minhaj Mahmud,Yasuyuki Sawada,Mari Tanaka |
| Date | 01 May 2022 |
| DOI | http://doi.org/10.1111/rode.12869 |
1164
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wileyonlinelibrary.com/journal/rode Rev Dev Econ. 2022;26:1164–1188.
© 2022 John Wiley & Sons Ltd
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INTRODUCTION
Microcredit (small- scale loans) has emerged as one of the most powerful policy tools for provid-
ing financial assistance to the poor. The number of poor households with access to microcredit
programs has increased globally by more than 18 times over the past 20years, from 7.6 million in
Received: 18 March 2021
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Revised: 14 January 2022
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Accepted: 15 January 2022
DOI: 10.1111/rode.12869
REGULAR ARTICLE
Microfinance competition and multiple
borrowing: Evidence using panel data from
Bangladesh
MinhajMahmud1*
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YasuyukiSawada2
|
MariTanaka3
*This work has been completed when he was at the Bangladesh Institute of Development Studies.
1Asian Development Bank, Manila,
Philippines
2University of Tokyo, Bunkyo- ku, Tokyo,
Japan
3Hitotsubashi University, Kunitachi,
Tokyo, Japan
Correspondence
Minhaj Mahmud, Asian Development
Bank, Manila, Philippines.
Email: mmahmud@adb.org
Funding information
JICA Research Institute
Abstract
We examine the causes and consequences of multi-
ple borrowing in rural Bangladesh using long- term
household and village panel data covering the years
2000– 2014. We find that the sharply growing number
of microfinance institutions (MFIs) in a wider set of vil-
lages over time coincides with a corresponding increase
in household borrowing from multiple MFIs and house-
holds accessing loans generally as well as significant
rises in the total values of household assets, especially
in the form of agricultural equipment. Although the in-
creasing number of MFIs resulted in some households
borrowing to repay previous loans, the fraction of such
households is relatively small.
KEYWORDS
Bangladesh, household borrowing, microbusiness, microfinance
institutions
JEL CLASSIFICATION
G21; D14; O12; O16
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1165
MAHMUD et al.
1997 to 139.9 million in 2018 (Microfinance Barometer, 2019). There has been rapid expansion of
the microfinance sector, with increasing numbers of both microfinance institutions (MFIs) and
borrowers. Bangladesh has been the global center of this trend, witnessing rapid expansion of
MFIs and their branches.1 Despite the 2006 Nobel Peace prize being jointly awarded to both the
Grameen Bank and its founder Professor Muhammad Yunus, there remains little consensus on
the impact of microcredit programs. While there has been some discussion in the literature about
the positive role of microcredit in household welfare, including its cost- effectiveness,2 recent evi-
dence based on randomized control trials provides rather weak evidence of their positive impact
(e.g. Banerjee etal.,2015).
The overall impact of improved access to credit on the welfare of borrowers ultimately rests
on whether the microcredit programs relax the binding credit constraints on borrowers (i.e. mit-
igating credit market imperfections) or merely induce over- borrowing (i.e. borrowing more than
the borrower has the capacity to repay). It may also depend on the complementarity or substitut-
ability between a loan from an MFI and other credit sources due to the nature of liquidity con-
straints, risk- sharing, borrower production functions, and mechanisms producing downstream
outcomes (Banerjee etal.,2015).
Notwithstanding the fact that major MFI lenders had agreed not to work with the same clients,
in the absence of effective credit bureaus, their rapid expansion inevitably results in borrowers
borrowing from multiple lenders, including MFIs— a phenomenon widely known as “overlap-
ping borrowing” or “multiple borrowing.” This raises the important question of whether inten-
sifying competition among MFIs is a predictor of increasing overlapping borrowing,3 and if so,
what are the consequences of this for household welfare. However, to the best of our knowledge
there has been limited rigorous empirical research looking into the causes and consequences of
overlapping borrowing, and, in particular, the role of competition between MFIs on borrowing
behavior and household welfare.
In this paper we aim to at least partially bridge this gap in the literature by analyzing the asso-
ciation between the increasing number of MFIs and household borrowing behavior (e.g. multiple
borrowing, total amount of loans, and the purpose of loans) and household asset accumulation.
To this end, we use four waves of representative household panel survey in Bangladesh covering
62 villages from 2000 to 2014. To link this data set to the number of MFIs in the village and other
village characteristics, we combine the data with our own retrospective survey conducted in 2014
on village- level information for the same period. Our data indicate that the average number of
MFIs per village increased from 3.16 in 2000 to 4.34 in 2014, alongside a rapid rise of the share of
multiple borrowing households from 7% in 2000 to 23% in 2014.
Overall, we find that an increase in the number of MFIs in a village predicts a higher probabil-
ity that households will borrow from multiple MFIs and a higher probability of their borrowing
from at least one MFI; however, there is no change in the probability of borrowing from other
sources. In addition, increasing MFI competition in the village predicts larger household assets
that are mostly used for productive purposes (such as agricultural equipment) rather than only
for repayment or consumption. Consistent with this evidence, the growing number of MFIs is
associated with increasing multiple borrowing for agricultural or business purposes rather than
consumption purposes. This result is consistent with the hypothesis that combining small and
inflexible loans from multiple MFIs serves to satisfy the high demand for borrowing for the pur-
pose of purchasing productive assets. On the other hand, we find that the growing number of
MFIs is also associated with a small but statistically significant increase in households borrowing
for repayment for previous loans. We identify that these households borrowing for repayment are
small in fraction (2% of our sample) and have less assets and lower income.
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