Legislative Constraints on Executive Unilateralism in Separation of Powers Systems
Author | Alexander Bolton,Michael Barber,Sharece Thrower |
DOI | http://doi.org/10.1111/lsq.12232 |
Published date | 01 August 2019 |
Date | 01 August 2019 |
515
LEGISLATIVE STUDIES QUARTERLY, 44, 3, August 2019
DOI: 10.1111/lsq.12232
MICHAEL BARBER
Brigham Young University
ALEXANDER BOLTON
Emory University
SHARECE THROWER
Vanderbilt University
Legislative Constraints on Executive
Unilateralism in Separation of
Powers Systems
Can legislatures effectively check unilateral executive power? One promi-
nent and counterintuitive finding in previous work is that executives pursue
unilateralism less often under divided government. While executives see greater
potential policy gains through unilateral action during divided government, we
argue that their likelihood of acting unilaterally depends on an opposed legisla-
ture’s ability to retaliate. When polarization is high and majorities are marginal,
executives are freer to act unilaterally given the difficulties legislatures have in
statutorily responding. Unilateralism is also more likely when facing opposition
if legislatures lack nonstatutory means of punishment, such as regulatory review.
In the largest analysis of gubernatorial executive unilateralism to date, we use a
new data set of 24,232 executive orders in the 50 American states between 1993
and 2013 to evaluate this argument and find strong support for its predictions.
These results provide insights into how legislative policymaking capacity can in-
fluence the functioning of separation of powers systems.
Introduction
For centuries, institutional designers have debated the
merits of distributing power between a legislative and executive
arm of government (Hamilton, Madison and Jay 2009; Lijphart
2012; Montesquieu 1949; Tsebelis 1995). A primary argument
for these arrangements lies in the ability of each governmental
branch “to be the means of keeping each other in their proper
places” (Hamilton, Madison, and Jay 2009, 263). The degree to
which legislatures shape the exercise of executive power and the
© 2019 Washington University in St. L ouis
516 Michael Barber, Alexander Bolton, and Sharece Thrower
mechanisms that underlie legislative influence on executives are
questions of paramount importance in separation of powers sys-
tems. In few other realms is this concern so central as i n the exer-
cise of unilateral power, where executives may have a seemingly
unfettered ability to bypass the legislative process in pursuit of
their own preferred policies. The degree to which they limit their
unilateral behavior in response to legislatures is potentially vari-
able and relevant in a diversity of contexts , from the use of dec ree
powers by Latin American presidents (e.g., Shair-Rosenfield and
Stoyan 2017) to the issuance of presidential and gubernatorial
executive orders in the United States (e.g., Mayer 2002; Sellers
forthcoming).
There are frequently conflicting views on this issue. Public
perception and media commentary in the United States, for in-
stance, often suggest that executives are able to freely use unilat-
eral actions as a way to sidestep and evade ideologically hostile
legislatures.Yet studies of unilateral polic ymaking most often f ind
evidence to the contrary: Presidents issue fewer executive orders
under divided govern ment (e.g., Chiou and Rothenberg 2017; Fine
and Warber 2012; Young 2013), suggesting they curb their unilat-
eral activity when their preferences are the most divergent from
Congress. In th is article, we seek to better unde rstand the mecha-
nisms that underlie these seemingly counterintuitive results and
examine circumstances in which they do and do not hold.
We build upon previous theories of unilateralism and argue
that legislature s possess, under p articular c ircumstanc es, the insti-
tutional mechan isms and powers (which we refer to as policymak-
ing capacity) necessary to induce executive restraint. Legislative
majorities high in policymaking capacity can retaliate against
executives who pursue unilateral policies that make them worse
off relative to the status quo. This has important inc entive effects
for executives. Previous work has highlighted periods of divided
government as times when executive incentives for unilateralism
may be tempered by legislatures. We argue that this relationship
is contingent on the legislature’s ability to effectively respond to
unfavorable policy changes and identi fy specific me chanisms that
can produce patterns of constraint (and evasion). In this way, the
divided government findings are not universal; rather, they de-
pend on important factors in the political environment.
In brief, we argue that legislatures are inhibited from act-
ing statutorily to counter the executive when ideological polari-
zation is high or supermajoritarian veto-override thresholds are
517Legislative Constraints on Executive Unilateralism
insurmountable. Furthermore, when nonstatutory sanctions on
the executive are unavailable to legislatures, their relative power
is also diminished. In these cases, we argue that executives face
few credible constraints from legislatures controlled by the op-
posing party a nd can thus more freely act unilater ally, in line with
the “evasion” view of unilateralism. However, in the presence of
large, unif ied majorities or signif icant extrastatutory tools, execu-
tives are hemme d in by legislatures, and less un ilateralism should
occur during divided government relative to unified. In other
words, executive reactions to partisan division are conditional
on the policymaking capacity of legislatures. Although previ-
ous studies have identified the importance of internal legislative
fragmentation (e.g., Howell 2003) and extrastatutory mechanism s
of constraint (Chiou and Rothenberg 2017) in shaping executive
unilateralism, they largely do not examine how these factors can
moderate the effect s of divided government. Thus, our study con-
tributes to this literature by delineating the conditional effects of
these factors to identi fy important mechanism s for why and when
executives adjust their un ilateral strategies in the face of partisan
opposition.
We evaluate this theory with an original data set of nearly
25,000 gubernatoria l executive orders from all 50 states issued b e-
tween 1993 and 2013. Focusing on the United State s has a number
of advantages over prior empirical investigations of unilateral-
ism. Most previous work has examined a single time series at the
federal level in the United States, leading to concerns about gen-
eralizabi lity and lack of variation in key theoretica l variables. For
instance, nonstatutory powers are mostly constant at the federal
level, offering little empirical leverage on their effects. Other key
variables, such as polarization, evince far more variation in both
magnitude and trends in the states. Fur thermore, veto-proof ma-
jorities are incredibly rare in Congress, making it difficult to di-
rectly study veto power. We leverage this variation in the states
to better identify the effects of interbranch partisan divergence
on unilateralism and the mechanisms underlying it. As such, we
offer the most extensive comparative study of executive order
use to date, demonstrating the utility and generalizability of our
theory. Our empirical results offer confirmation of our argu-
ment, suggesting that executives reduce unilateralism when fac-
ing divided government—but not always. Instead, we show that
the relationship between interbranch conflict and unilateralism
is contingent on a number of institutional factors. In doing so,
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