Justices, Justices, Look Through Your Books, and Make Me a Perfect Match: An Argument for the Realistic Probability Test in CIMT Removal Proceedings

AuthorEvan F. McCarthy
PositionJ.D. Candidate, The University of Iowa College of Law, 2019; B.A. Political Science, The University of Iowa, 2016
Pages2269-2297
2269
Justices, Justices, Look Through Your
Books, and Make Me a Perfect Match:
An Argument for the Realistic Probability
Test in CIMT Removal Proceedings
Evan F. McCarthy*
ABSTRACT: The Immigration and Nationality Act provides a mechanism
for automatic removal of aliens convicted of “crimes involving moral
turpitude.” The problems resulting from trying to make law based on that
phrase led immigration courts to adopt a categorical approach to statutory
interpretation, which attempts to guarantee deportation based on statutes that
cover actually turpitudinous conduct and not on overinclusive or vague
statutory language. The Circuits have split in their methodology when using
the categorical approach, with some favoring a “realistic probability” test that
requires a showing that the statute of conviction has actually been used to
punish the conduct that may trigger deportation, and with others favoring a
more formalistic—and less forgiving—“minimum reading” approach. The
former allows defendants greater flexibility in front of immigration courts and
furthers important procedural goals identified by the Supreme Court’s most
recent decisions involving the categorical approach. The latter approach is
associated with adverse, and sometimes unfair, results for defendants, who
may not have been actually guilty of the conduct proscribed by the statute of
conviction, and is also underinclusive in that its narrow and formulaic
application can sometimes lead to favorable outcomes for defendants whose
conduct was obviously proscribed. This Note advocates for the nationwide
adoption of the “realistic probability” standard. To support this argument,
this Note will assess the history of the approaches, the methodology and
philosophical concerns motivating the use of both tests, and the outcomes
defendants can expect from jurisdictions using one test over the other. This
Note will argue that the realistic probability test is more in line with Supreme
Court precedent, stated goals of procedural fairness, and the principles that
* J.D. Candidate, The University of Iowa College of Law, 2019; B.A. Political Science, The
University of Iowa, 2016. I would like to thank Emily Boylan, Bennett Thompson, Janet Lawler,
Mark Mellecker, and the Iowa Law Review editors and student writers for their support and work
on this Note.
2270 IOWA LAW REVIEW [Vol. 104:2269
motivated the adoption of the categorical approach in the immigration
context.
I.INTRODUCTION ........................................................................... 2270
II.BACKGROUND: EVOLUTION OF THE CATEGORICAL
APPROACH ................................................................................... 2272
A.“CRIME INVOLVING MORAL TURPITUDE ................................ 2273
B.THE CATEGORICAL APPROACH .............................................. 2276
C.CIRCUIT VARIATIONS ON THE CATEGORICAL APPROACH
FOR CIMT ............................................................................ 2278
III. OUTCOMES FOR DEFENDANTS ARE BETTER UNDER THE
REALISTIC PROBABILITY TEST ..................................................... 2282
A.COSTS AND BENEFITS OF THE REALISTIC
PROBABILITY TEST ................................................................ 2283
B.COSTS AND BENEFITS OF THE MINIMUM READING TEST ........... 2286
C.COMPARISON AND IMPLICATIONS ........................................... 2288
IV.THE SUPREME COURT SHOULD ADOPT THE REALISTIC
PROBABILITY TEST NATIONWIDE ................................................ 2289
A.PROCEDURAL PROTECTIONS ARE GUARANTEED BY THE
REALISTIC PROBABILITY TEST ................................................ 2289
B.RESPONSES TO CIRCUIT ARGUMENTS AGAINST THE
REALISTIC PROBABILITY TEST ................................................ 2295
V.CONCLUSION .............................................................................. 2296
I. INTRODUCTION
Much has been said about the spare phrase “crime involving moral
turpitude” (“CIMT”) in the context of the Immigration and Nationality Act
(“INA”), and how such an amorphous phrase nonetheless manages to have
such dramatic consequences.1 Among other things, conviction of a “crime
1. Mary Holper, Deportation for a Sin: Why Moral Turpitude is Void for Vagueness, 90 NEB. L.
REV. 647, 680–81 (2012) (“[CIMT is] loaded with religious overtones and hark[ ens] back to a day
when judges played God, assigning blame for sin.”). Professor Holper makes a strong argument for
striking “crime involving moral turpitude” f rom the INA and other contexts in which it appears on
the grounds that its definition, necessarily shifting and wildly inconsistent, leads to intolerable
confusion on the part of criminal defendants (and their attorneys) and is so vague as to not put
anyone on notice as to what sort of conduct might actually be proscribed in a given jurisdiction. Id.
at 648–49. This line of argument is not new. See John S. Bradway, Moral Turpitude as the Criterion of
Offenses that Justify Disbarment, 24 CALIF. L. REV. 9, 14 (1935) (describing the phrase “crime involving
moral turpitude” as a legislative “catch-all” and anathema to any degree of precision). While the

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