INDIA, nuevo super jugador del comercio regional: Las exportaciones a India se han multiplicado por 16 desde el ano 1995.
Author | Gutierrez, Santiago |
La nueva tendencia en el comercio latinoamericano tiene nombre de pais: India. En 2017 el total del comercio (importaciones + exportaciones) de India con la region crecio el 30%, impulsado principalmente por la exportacion de bienes latinoamericanos al pais asiatico.
Las cifras todavia no son enormes, pero si su crecimiento. El comercio total en 2017 ascendio a US$29.087 millones, que es un decimo de los US$295.871 millones del comercio con China y una pequena fraccion de los US$692.145 millones con Estados Unidos.
Con todo, India ya es octavo entre los socios comerciales de la region y con el crecimiento del ultimo ano sobrepaso a los Paises Bajos y a Italia.
Esta es una tendencia y no un fenomeno de corto plazo. En los ultimos diez anos (hasta 2017), segun cifras del Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo (BID), India paso del puesto 28 al quinto para las exportaciones argentinas; del puesto 32 al octavo para las brasilenas; del 26 al sexto para las chilenas y del 47 al 15 para las mexicanas. Desde el ano 2000, las exportaciones latinoamericanas a India se han multiplicado por 16.
Adicionalmente, la posibilidad de crecimiento es sustancial. India tuvo una tasa de crecimiento economico promedio del 7,8% en los ultimos diez anos. La mantendra hasta 2020 y sera superior al 8% a partir de ese ano, segun estimaciones del Fondo Monetario Internacional.
Hasta 2020 el mundo crecera a una tasa del 3,7% por ano y las economias avanzadas, del 1,8%.
India es el segundo pais mas poblado del planeta, con 1.300...
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