Housing Trajectories, Risk Factors, and Resources among Individuals Who Are Homeless or Precariously Housed

AuthorRosane Nisenbaum,Anita Palepu,Stephen W. Hwang,Ri Wang,Ayda Agha,James Lachaud,Cilia Mejia-Lancheros,Tim Aubry
Date01 January 2021
DOI10.1177/0002716220987203
Published date01 January 2021
Subject MatterTrajectories and Transitions
102 ANNALS, AAPSS, 693, January 2021
DOI: 10.1177/0002716220987203
Housing
Trajectories,
Risk Factors,
and Resources
among
Individuals
Who Are
Homeless or
Precariously
Housed
By
TIM AUBRY,
AYDA AGHA,
CILIA MEJIA-LANCHEROS,
JAMES LACHAUD,
RI WANG,
ROSANE NISENBAUM,
ANITA PALEPU,
and
STEPHEN W. HWANG
987203ANN THE ANNALS OF THE AMERICAN ACADEMYHOUSING TRAJECTORIES, RISK FACTORS, AND RESOURCES
research-article2021
This study identifies time-patterned trajectories of
housing stability among homeless and vulnerably
housed individuals who participated in a multisite four-
year longitudinal study in Canada. Findings show four
distinct trajectories for the homeless and vulnerably
housed: high levels of sustained housing stability,
improving levels over time leading to high levels of
housing stability, decreasing levels of housing stability
over time, and low levels of housing stability over time.
The presence of resources rather than risk factors dif-
ferentiated the trajectories of participants who achieved
housing stability from those who had low levels of hous-
ing stability. Participants who had better housing stabil-
ity were more likely to live in subsidized housing.
Findings highlight the need for programs and policies
directed at addressing the housing affordability prob-
lem through income support strategies and the creation
of affordable housing.
Keywords: housing stability; homelessness; trajectories;
risk factors; resources
Homelessness is a significant and visible
social problem in Western industrial coun-
tries (Abbé Pierre Foundation & FEANSTA
2018; The Council of Economic Advisers 2019;
Employment and Social Development Canada
2019). Over the past three decades, the homeless
population has become increasingly heterogene-
ous and includes youth, single adults, and fami-
lies with young children. Moreover, a multitude
of economic, social, health, and personal factors
have contributed to people becoming homeless
and impeded their ability to becoming housed
again and successfully exit homelessness (Gaetz
2010; Thompson etal. 2010; Tsai and Rosenheck
2015). As a result of this heterogeneity, research
Tim Aubry is a full professor in the School of Psychology
and a senior researcher at the Centre for Research on
Educational and Community Services at the University
of Ottawa.
Correspondence: taubry@uottawa.ca
HOUSING TRAJECTORIES, RISK FACTORS, AND RESOURCES 103
identifying subgroups of individuals and families who are homeless has played a
major role in guiding policies intended to address homelessness in the United
States, Canada, and Europe (Aubry etal. 2013; Benjaminsen and Andrade 2015;
Culhane etal. 2007; Daly, Craig, and O’Sullivan 2018; Kuhn and Culhane 1998;
Rabinovich, Pauly, and Zhao 2016).
Kuhn and Culhane (1998) conducted a seminal study using cluster analysis to
identify subgroups of single adults based on length of homelessness and number
of episodes of homelessness over several years in New York City and Philadelphia.
They found three distinct groups that were termed “transitional,” “episodic,” and
“chronic.” The majority of individuals were in the transitional group and were
people who stayed in shelters for short periods of time and most often had one
stay. The episodic group cycled in and out of shelters while staying for relatively
short periods. Finally, the chronic group had the longest shelter stays. Kuhn and
Culhane also found episodic and chronic shelter users more likely to have
Ayda Agha is a community health researcher working at the Centre for Research on
Educational and Community Services at the University of Ottawa. She is currently a doctoral
student in the School of Psychology at the University of Ottawa.
Cilia Mejia-Lancheros is a public health researcher and social epidemiologist working as a
postdoctoral research fellow at MAP Centre for Urban Health Solutions, St. Michael’s Hospital
in Toronto.
James Lachaud is a demographer with research interests in population and public health. He
is currently a postdoctoral research fellow at MAP Centre for Urban Health Solutions, St.
Michael’s Hospital in Toronto, and holds a CIHR-IPPH/CMHC fellowship award in research
and knowledge translation on urban housing and health.
Ri Wang is a statistician working at MAP Centre for Urban Health Solutions, St. Michael’s
Hospital in Toronto.
Rosane Nisenbaum is a biostatistician and associate scientist with MAP Centre for Urban
Health Solutions and the Applied Health Research Centre in the Li Ka Shing Knowledge
Institute of St. Michael’s Hospital and an assistant professor in the University of Toronto’s
Division of Biostatistics at the Dalla Lana School of Public Health.
Anita Palepu is a professor of medicine, general internal medicine at the University of British
Columbia (UBC). She is the Eric W. Hamber Chair and head of the Department of Medicine
at UBC and Providence Health Care in Vancouver.
Stephen W. Hwang is a professor of medicine at the University of Toronto and general internist
at St. Michael’s Hospital in Toronto. He is the director of MAP Centre for Urban Health
Solutions and holds the Chair in Homelessness, Housing, and Health at the University of
Toronto and St. Michael’s Hospital.
NOTE: This project was supported by an operating grant (MOP-86765) and an Interdisciplinary
Capacity Enhancement Grant on Homelessness, Housing and Health (HOA-80066) from the
Canadian Institutes of Health Research. The MAP Centre for Research on Urban Solutions at
St. Michael’s Hospital gratefully acknowledges the support of the Ontario Ministry of Health
and Long-Term Care. The authors thank Ying Di for her expert programming and analyses.
We would like to acknowledge the following individuals from our community partner organiza-
tions: Laura Cowan, Liz Evans, Sarah Evans, Stephanie Gee, Clare Haskel, Erika Khandor,
and Wendy Muckle. The authors also thank the shelter, drop-in, and municipal and provincial
staff for their assistance with participant recruitment and follow-up.

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