Good predictor?

• Position: Elections - Brief Article

When the Consumer Confidence Index, a widely cited barometer of the nation's economy, has been at 100 or more the September before a presidential election, the incumbent party has won the popular vote; when it has been below, the opponent has won--except in the election of 1968. In December 2003, the index stood at 91.3.

2000 1996 1992 1988 1984 The Winner Bush (R) Dole (R) Clinton (R) Dukakis (D) Mondale of Each (D) Election is on Top Candidate Gore (D) * Clinton (R) Bush (R) Bush (R) Reagan of (R)...