Failed Honeymoon: Dilma Rousseff’s Third Election Round

DOI10.1177/0094582X18767429
AuthorJoão Feres Júnior,Luna de Oliveira Sassara
Date01 May 2018
Published date01 May 2018
Subject MatterArticles
LATIN AMERICAN PERSPECTIVES, Issue 220, Vol. 45 No. 3, May 2018, 224–235
DOI: 10.1177/0094582X18767429
© 2018 Latin American Perspectives
224
Failed Honeymoon
Dilma Rousseff’s Third Election Round
by
João Feres Júnior and Luna de Oliveira Sassara
Translated by
Frutuoso Santana
In a test of the hypothesis of the existence of a honeymoon period in Brazil after Dilma
Rousseff’s victory in the 2014 presidential election, a sentiment analysis of a large data-
base composed of newspaper articles published by Brazil’s most influential quality news-
papers, Folha de S. Paulo, O Globo, and Estado de S. Paulo, from January 2014 to
August 2016, showed that negative coverage of her skyrocketed right after she took office
and stayed very high until she was removed from power. Also tested was the hypothesis
that the bias against Rousseff was simply a general disposition of the media to exert their
watchdog function in the public interest through a comparison of her coverage with that
received by Senator Aécio Neves, the losing candidate in the election and leader of the main
opposition party and the campaign for her impeachment, who was the object of innumer-
able charges of corruption. This hypothesis was also rejected.
A análise de valência de uma grande base de textos publicados pelos quality newspapers
mais influentes do Brasil, Folha de São Paulo, O Globo e o Estado de S. Paulo, de
janeiro de 2014 a agosto de 2016 demonstra que, após sua vitória na eleição presidencial
de 2014, Dilma Rousseff não teve uma Lua de Mel por parte da grande imprensa. Pelo
contrário, sua cobertura negativa se intensificou enormemente logo depois de assumir o
cargo e ficou muito alta até sua remoção do poder. Também foi testada a hipótese de que o
viés contra Rousseff fosse simplesmente uma disposição geral da mídia para exercer sua
função de vigilância (watchdog) do interesse público frente aos políticos eleitos por meio
da comparação de sua cobertura com aquela recebida por Aécio Neves, senador, candidato
derrotado à presidência e líder da oposição e da campanha pelo impeachment de Dilma, e
alvo de inúmeras acusações de corrupção. Tal hipótese também foi rejeitada pela análise
dos dados.
Keywords: Democracy, Media, Brazil, Dilma, Honeymoon
American scholars have coined the term “honeymoon” to describe the
period that immediately follows the president’s inauguration (Hughes, 1995;
Johnson, 1983; Norpoth, 1984). The term refers to the fact that public opinion
(Headrick and Lanoue, 1991), the legislature (Dominguez, 2005), and the media
(Li, 1999) extend goodwill and cordiality to the newly elected president at the
beginning of his or her administration. Scholars disagree on the length of the
João Feres Júnior is a professor of political science and director of the Instituto de Estudos Sociais
e Políticos at the Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro. Luna de Oliveira Sassara is a political
scientist and researcher at that university. Frutuoso Santana is a translator living in New York City.
767429LAPXXX10.1177/0094582X18767429Latin American PerspectivesFeres Júnior and Sassara / ROUSSEFF’S THIRD ROUND
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