Factors Predicting Outcome of Divorce Mediation

AuthorKendall D. Johnson
DOIhttp://doi.org/10.1111/j.174-1617.1984.tb00097.x
Published date01 December 1984
Date01 December 1984
Factors Predicting Outcome
of
Divorce Mediation
Kendall D. Johnson*
Divorcing couples who are contesting
issues of custodyhisitation strain the resources
of domestic courts.
In
some states, however,
these couples are routinely assigned to media-
tion, prior to the date of the court hearing, in an
effort to reach out-of-court settlement. This
mandatory mediation is successful in some
cases, while other cases go on to trial. The rea-
sons for this have not yet been established by
research.
This study explored numerous background
variables cited in the mediation literature to de-
termine their influence on successful out-of-
court settlement. The usefulness of previous
research was somewhat limited
in
scope, Sam-
pling or design for application to a mandatory
situation, but each study contributed certain rel-
evant ideas.
Background for
the
Study
Identifying the variables involved in divorce
settlements is difficult. While the divorce rate is
high, the number of cases settled prior to trial is
even larger. Dr. Barbara
J.
Pedersen, concilia-
tion court counselor for the San Bernardino
County Superior Court, reports that of all divorce
filings for the periods of 1973
to
1978, and 1979
through 1982, only 15% contested issues of
custody and visitation. Of these, only 15% were
not resolved immediately by mediation. That
court routinely referred these for further study
and of that group only about 15% ended up in
lengthy trial.
Alexander (1980) compared certain con-
siderations involved in selecting mediation ver-
*Kendall
D.
Johnson,
M.S.
is
affiliated with Greenleaves
Associates, Claremont, California.
The author expresses his deep appreciation
to
Bar-
bara
J.
Pedersen, Ph.D., Ontario Family Court Services, for
her assistance in carrying out the field research, and
to
Catherine Cameron, Ph.D., University of Laverne, for her
continued research advice and editing.
sus litigation. He assessed hostility between
spouses, legal concerns, and how parents
weighed the child’s best interest against their
own. His sample included only those parents
who could agree to seek mediation as an alter-
native procedure. They were seen sometime
after the process and reported retrospectively,
leaving findings open to bias. He concluded that
the hostility between divorcing parents did not
significantly influence their weighing the child’s
best interest in resolving the issue of custody.
This runs counter to Westman and Cline’s (1971)
report that visitation was a major area of conflict
between divorcing parents.
Kressel (1980) compared couples who ini-
tially chose to attempt mediation with couples
who did not. He used an intensive analysis of a
limited number of cases and found that the pro-
cess of mediation tended to recapitulate the
major dynamics of the divorce decision period.
He
developed a typology
of
interaction based on
three dimensions which influenced both divorce
and mediation. These were:
1.
Degree of ambivalence toward divorce;
2. Frequency and openness of communication;
3.
Level and overtness of conflict.
The decision to divorce is rarely arrived at
by the two people simultaneously. Typically, the
non-initiator had less time to prepare for the
emotional and substantial issues of divorce.
Non-mutuality was negatively related to smooth
negotiation.
Gold (1981) in her description
of
a co-
mediation team model suggested four parame-
ters for assessing and working with a couple
which affect readiness to mediate. First, the
anxiety level surrounding the task of individua-
tion can sabotage negotiation. Second, non-
mutuality
of
decision to divorce places spouses
at different stages of the separation process.
Third, ambivalence concerning the decision to
divorce makes agreement on other issues hard
to reach. The persistence of attachment varies
in intensity and affects the rate of progress.
and,
31
CONCILIATION
COURTS
REVIEWNOLUME
22,
NUMBER
PIDECEMBER
1984

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