Evaluating the Impact of “Old” Criminal Conviction Decision Guidelines on Subsequent Employment and Arrest Outcomes

Date01 May 2017
Published date01 May 2017
AuthorMegan Denver
DOI10.1177/0022427816680252
Subject MatterArticles
Article
Evaluating the
Impact of ‘‘Old’
Criminal Conviction
Decision Guidelines
on Subsequent
Employment and
Arrest Outcomes
Megan Denver
1
Abstract
Objectives: Redemption scholars estimate that after an average of 7-10 years
pass without a new arrest or conviction, a person’s criminal record essen-
tially loses its predictive value. This article provides the first labor market
and recidivism estimates of implementing a criminal background check
decision guideline based on this redemption research. Methods: The sample
consists of provisionally hired job applicants in New York State’s healthcare
industry with at least one prior conviction. A ‘‘10 years since last convic-
tion’’ guideline situated within a highly formalized criminal background
check process plausibly creates conditional random variation in clearance
decisions, which allows for a regression model to estimate causal effects.
Results: Individuals cleared to work because of the 10-year guideline
1
School of Criminal Justice, University at Albany, Albany, NY, USA
Corresponding Author:
Megan Denver, School of Criminal Justice, University at Albany, 310 Draper Hall, 135 Western
Ave., Albany, NY 12203, USA.
Email: mdenver@albany.edu
Journal of Research in Crime and
Delinquency
2017, Vol. 54(3) 379-408
ªThe Author(s) 2016
Reprints and permission:
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DOI: 10.1177/0022427816680252
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experience meaningful improvements in employment and earnings, but not
recidivism on average. However, men do experience reductions in subse-
quent arrests, which appears to be driven by more complex factors beyond
simply time since last arrest. Conclusions: For some individuals, receiving
clearance to work even a decade after their last conviction can have not
only labor market benefits, but also important recidivism implications.
Future research should explore the employment oppor tunity/recidivism
trade-off in adjusting guideline threshold values and consider alternati ve
redemption strategies.
Keywords
redemption, time since last offense, criminal background checks, desistance,
employment
Introduction
Criminal background inquiries and checks serve as a major barrier to Amer-
icans with criminal records who are pursuing employment (Holzer,
Raphael, and Stoll 2002; Pager 2007; Uggen et al. 2014). Yet obtaining a
job may reduce recidivism and induce positive change for individuals with
criminal records for various theoretical reasons (e.g., Agnew 1992; Becker
1968; Laub and Sampson 1993, 2001). There is new evidence that passing a
criminal background check to work in a job for which a person was provi-
sionally hired reduces recidivism among some people with records (Denver,
Siwach, and Bushway 2017), which provides policymakers with furt her
motivation to increase clearance to work. However, policymakers currently
have very little guidance on specifically how to increase criminal back-
ground check clearance in a way that reduces recidivism without increasing
risk to employers, employees, or vulnerable populations.
A recent line of empirical res earch has laid the groundwork fo r one
potential strategy. Researchers estimate that individuals with prior criminal
records have similar probabilities of a new arrest or conviction as those
without criminal records after an average of 7–10 years have passed without
new criminal justice system involvement (Blumstein and Nakamura 2009;
Kurlychek, Brame, and Bushway 2006, 2007; Soothill and Francis 2009).
The Equal Employment Opportunity Commission (EEOC 2012) has
emphasized the consideration of criminal conviction recency in its revised
guidance to employers. As a result, policymakers can potentially
380 Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency 54(3)

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