Dubya plays with numbers.

AuthorIvins, Molly
PositionSmall Favors - Economic growth of United States in George W. Bush's regime

Oh, goody. President Bush is still going on about what a swell economy we have. Did you know that the Dow Jones Industrial Average has been at its highest point ever? And the NASDAQ, ditto. Wow, breathtaking, huh?

But the Dow is not a good indicator of how things are really going for the majority of Americans. Median hourly wages, adjusted for inflation, have dropped 2 percent since 2003, and we've seen an immense shift of wealth from the poor and middle class to the very rich.

I just love listening to the Bushies play with numbers. When Bush took over in 2001, he predicted a surplus of $516 billion for fiscal year 2006. In October, the Administration announced a 2006 deficit of $248 billion, missing its projection for this year by, let's see, only $764 billion. Bush said the numbers are "proof that pro-growth economic policies work" and reflect "sound fiscal policies here in Washington." This is highly reminiscent of Dick Cheney's recent observation about the Iraqi government, "If you look at the general, overall situation, they're doing remarkably well."

Bush's main talking point on the budget is that he "cut the federal budget deficit in half"--that would be from 2004, the year the White House inflated the projected deficit for 2006. Brian Riedl of the Heritage Foundation said, "The White House has a track record of projecting budget numbers to be a lot worse than they end up, which therefore helps them defeat the gloomy expectations and declare victory."

If I were Bush, I wouldn't even mention the budget deficit. When he came to power, he inherited a huge budget surplus, which he squandered. And if he does manage to make the tax cuts permanent, it will add more than $3 trillion to the deficit over the next ten years.

Bush's version of "doing remarkably well" includes a trade gap--now a record $69.9 billion--up 2.7 percent since July. "Short of a big correction in consumer spending, the best we can hope for is that the trade deficit stabilizes," Stephen Stanley, chief economist at RBS Greenwich Capital, told Bloomberg.com.

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