Do Changes in Emotional States Predict Therapy Alliance in Dutch Male Offenders in Mandated Clinical Care?

AuthorVivienne de Vogel,Marije Keulen-de Vos
Date01 April 2022
DOI10.1177/0306624X211013733
Published date01 April 2022
Subject MatterArticles
https://doi.org/10.1177/0306624X211013733
International Journal of
Offender Therapy and
Comparative Criminology
2022, Vol. 66(5) 625 –644
© The Author(s) 2021
Article reuse guidelines:
sagepub.com/journals-permissions
DOI: 10.1177/0306624X211013733
journals.sagepub.com/home/ijo
Article
Do Changes in Emotional
States Predict Therapy
Alliance in Dutch Male
Offenders in Mandated
Clinical Care?
Marije Keulen-de Vos1 and Vivienne de Vogel2
Abstract
Therapy alliance has been studied largely in voluntary psychotherapy but less is
known about its predictive factors for positive alliance and treatment outcome in
forensic populations. The aim of this study was to examine the relationship between
offenders’ emotional states and therapy alliance. Moreover, we were interested in
the predictive impact of emotional states early in treatment on alliance at 18 months
into treatment. Self-ratings of emotional states and alliance by 103 male offenders,
and therapist-ratings for therapy alliance were examined using hierarchical multiple
regression analyses. Participants were primarily convicted for violent of sexual
offenses, and were diagnosed with antisocial, borderline or narcissistic personality
disorders. Healthy emotional states were predictive of mid-treatment agreement on
therapy goals and therapist ratings on tasks within the therapy. Unhealthy emotional
states were predictive of patient-rated agreement on tasks. Emotional states were
not predictive for the reported therapist/patient bond or global alliance ratings.
This study emphasizes the importance of healthy emotional states in treatment of
offenders with personality disorders.
Keywords
emotional states, therapeutic alliance, offending, psychotherapy, predict
1Forensic Psychiatric Center de Rooyse Wissel, Venray, Limburg, The Netherlands
2De Forensische Zorgspecialisten, Utrecht, The Netherlands
Corresponding Author:
Marije Keulen-de Vos, Forensic Psychiatric Center de Rooyse Wissel, P.O. Box 433, Venray, Limburg
5800 AK, The Netherlands.
Email: MKeulen-deVos@derooysewissel.nl
1013733IJOXXX10.1177/0306624X211013733International Journal of Offender Therapy and Comparative CriminologyKeulen-de Vos and de Vogel
research-article2021
626 International Journal of Offender Therapy and Comparative Criminology 66(5)
Evidence suggests that non-specific treatment factors, such as the therapeutic relation-
ship between patient and therapist, are robustly related to outcome across therapy
approaches, populations and psychological problems (Fahlgren et al., 2020; Flückiger
et al., 2012, 2018). For example, research shows that the therapy relationship accounts
for up to 30% of the variance in treatment outcomes (Westen et al., 2004). For Bordin
(1994), therapy alliance is the result of the combination between the agreement on the
goals in the therapy, consensus on the tasks that make up the therapy, and the bond
between patient and therapist. The agreement on these components can fluctuate over
the course of treatment; therefore therapy alliance is a dynamic concept. Research on
the role of therapeutic alliance in the field of high-risk violent offender treatment has
been limited although it is an important responsivity factor (Skeem et al., 2007a).
Although therapy alliance is an important part of all therapy, it is the offending treat-
ment population for which responsivity issues and the therapy alliance are vital as
offenders are often very distrustful of professionals. Skeem et al. (2007a) argue that
therapists who provide mandated care have both a caring and controlling role. Because
of their controlling role, patients may feel uncomfortable to disclose information.
Also, offenders may have limited insight into their problems (Trotter, 2015). It is nec-
essary for therapists to overcome this in order to facilitate change (Marshall & Serran,
2004). Overcoming an offender’s lack of insight is important because it refers to the
nature of behavioral problems, the extent to which these problems are self-caused and
ways in which behavior can be changed (Draper et al., 2013; Levenson & Macgowan,
2004; Woods et al., 2003).
Several studies have examined therapeutic alliance in several adult offender popu-
lations, such as sex offenders, partner-violent men, substance abusing offenders,
patients in mandated community treatment, patients on parole, and in adolescent
offenders (Brown & O’Leary, 2000; Florsheim et al., 2000; Taft et al., 2003; Serran &
Marshall, 2010; Skeem et al., 2007a; Sturm et al., 2021; Walters, 2015). These studies
show that the strength of the alliance is positively associated with treatment outcome,
recidivism or probation violations. Little is known, however, about change in alliance
over the course of forensic treatment and factors that predict this change. We know
that, in general, therapy alliance is influenced by a number of factors, such as patients’
attachment style, patients’ interpersonal skills and schemas, therapist’ professional
skills, and patient characteristics and diagnoses (Barrowclough et al., 2010; Kramer
et al., 2009; Ross et al., 2008). For example, Wallner-Samstag et al. (1992) found that
patients who are characterized as submissive, isolated and friendly are more likely to
develop strong alliances, whereas hostility, aggression and dominance is associated
with poor alliance (Puschner et al., 2005). With offenders, personality disorders (PDs)
are common (Langton et al., 2011), especially antisocial, borderline, and narcissistic
PD. According to Ross et al. (2008), forensic patients have high base rates of hostility,
PDs and interpersonal problems. This may have a negative impact on therapy alliance
because they can be anxious or too vigilant to easily form a bond with their therapist
(Fahlgren et al., 2020). Psychopathy is also highly prevalent in offender populations
and a strong predictor of negative treatment outcome (e.g., Leistico et al., 2008). Some
studies have specifically examined whether psychopathy has an impact on developing

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