Crecimiento en duda: el gobierno mexicano espera crecer 3,9 por ciento en 2014, pero analistas del sector y empresarios no opinan lo mismo.
Author | Núñez, Marco |
[ILUSTRACIÓN OMITIR]
El Banco Mundial informó en abril que la economía mexicana crecerá menos de lo que se tenía previsto en 2014. El organismo internacional recortó el pronóstico de crecimiento estimado para México de 3,4 por ciento a 3 por ciento para en este año, alejándose del pronóstico oficial del gobierno de Enrique Peña Nieto.
Luis Videgaray, secretario de Hacienda y Crédito Público, durante la convención bancaria anual en Acapulco, descartó que la economía mexicana esté estancada y aclaró que, por el contrario, empieza a acelerarse, incluso a pesar de que las cifras todavía tengan tendencias mixtas. Videgaray dijo que está viendo buenos indicadores económicos y por ello se mantiene la expectativa de la Secretaría de Hacienda de un crecimiento de 3,9 por ciento para 2014.
Sin embargo, Daniel Calleja, presidente del Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas (Imef), no tiene el mismo optimismo. Para el directivo "hay factores extemos que influyen en el desempeño económico, como la incertidumbre sobre el comportamiento a nivel global, un mayor retraso en la recuperación de Estados Unidos y el cambio en la política monetaria de la Reserva Federal. (Estos factores) están haciendo que la recuperación sea lenta, lo que afecta el ánimo de empresas e inversionistas", dijo. "La proyección de la Secretaría de Hacienda para el presente año, de 3,9 por ciento, se ve más lejana", agregó.
Muchos analistas privados también recortaron el pronóstico de crecimiento económico mexicano para 2014, informó el Banco de México en su encuesta sobre las expectativas del sector privado. En su sondeo, la perspectiva al inicio del año era de 3,4 por ciento y ahora está en 3,2 por ciento.
[GRÁFICO OMITIR]
Por su parte, aunque haya incertidumbre en el corto plazo para la economía, principalmente por factores externos, el grupo financiero Banamex se muestra optimista de que la debilidad del primer trimestre del 2014 no continuará y estima que en la segunda parte del año habrá una...
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