Conflict and Courts: Civil War and Judicial Independence across Democracies

DOI10.1177/1065912918803200
AuthorJacqueline Sievert,Brad Epperly
Date01 September 2019
Published date01 September 2019
Subject MatterArticles
https://doi.org/10.1177/1065912918803200
Political Research Quarterly
2019, Vol. 72(3) 700 –713
© 2018 University of Utah
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DOI: 10.1177/1065912918803200
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Article
“Inter arma silent leges”
During times of war law is silent. Or is it? Both scholar-
ship and intuition since the time of Cicero suggest the
arrival of conflict means laws binding the state, and spe-
cifically the executive, are silenced. In the modern era,
this means the ability of judges to review government
policies is diminished, either formally by law, informally
by undue influence, or by the practice of judges them-
selves. Much has been written about the trade-off between
rights and security in democracies during times of crisis,
judicial deference and delegation of decision making, and
the contraction of civil liberties during war. Yet, to date
there exists no systematic study of the relationship
between conflict and change in the formal powers of the
judicial branch or its freedom from undue influence.
Intuition and assumption have stood in place of analysis.
As such, we know far less about how the onset of conflict
affects the judicial branch’s formal and informal power
and autonomy than we might expect, and this lack of
analysis has resulted in improper expectations about the
relationship between conflict and the judiciary.
The importance of an independent judicial branch is
difficult to overstate. It can provide stability to democra-
cies, inhibiting backsliding (Gibler and Randazzo 2011);
decrease the likelihood that leaders will be punished after
leaving office, increasing regime stability (Epperly 2013);
positively affect economic growth and protect property
rights (Feld and Voigt 2003); influence treaty adoption
and implementation (Powell and Staton 2009); decrease
the likelihood of state repression and human rights viola-
tions (Keith 2002); and is a fundamental pillar of the rule
of law and an essential part of the process of a rights revo-
lution (Epp 1998). The importance of judicial indepen-
dence is further conveyed by the fact that many indices of
democracy—such as Polity and Freedom House—con-
sider it a defining attribute of democracy. Consensus
exists that it is imperative to understand how and why
states empower judicial institutions to review the constitu-
tionality of laws. Also necessary is understanding when
and why we observe change in both formal and behavioral
judicial independence, as these expansions or restrictions
can have lasting effects on civil liberties and state devel-
opment. By better understanding what precedes major
changes in judicial independence, we can better predict
when and how these changes are likely to occur.
803200PRQXXX10.1177/1065912918803200Political Research QuarterlyEpperly and Sievert
research-article2018
1University of South Carolina, Columbia, USA
2M&T Bank, Buffalo, NY, USA
Corresponding Author:
Brad Epperly, Department of Political Science, University of South
Carolina, 338 Gambrell Hall, 817 Henderson Street, Columbia, SC
29208, USA.
Email: epperlyb@mailbox.sc.edu
Conflict and Courts: Civil War and Judicial
Independence across Democracies
Brad Epperly1 and Jacqueline Sievert2
Abstract
Many argue that during conflict, executive power expands at the expense of the judiciary and civil liberties. Although
this is a common conjecture, no systematic study of conflict and judicial independence exists. We argue that conflict,
rather than strictly inhibiting independence, is instead a critical juncture that increases the possibility of institutional
change, either positive or negative. We assess this claim in three ways: cross-national analyses of (1) de facto and (2)
de jure judicial independence after the onset of conflict, and (3) a case study of statutory and jurisdictional changes
to the federal judiciary after the outbreak of the U.S. Civil War. Each illustrates that conflict onset is associated with
a higher likelihood of changing levels—both decreases and increases—rather than unidirectional decreases in judicial
independence. We then present preliminary hypotheses and analyses for three factors that, given conflict onset,
should be associated with either improved or worsened conditions for the judiciary. This study has implications for
research on conflict, courts, and the rule of law in both political science and legal studies.
Keywords
courts, conflict, judicial independence

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