En cifras: pronostico de Consenso de Latin Trade hasta abril de 2002.
Position | Eso Dicen |
* ARGENTINA
Los pronósticos ajustados son sombríos. El Producto interno Bruto de la tercera economía latinoamericana puede caer este año más allá del 10 por ciento, y la inflación podría superar el 65%. Para empeorar el panorama, también podrían continuar las devaluaciones del peso y sus consecuencias.
* MÉXICO
El año próximo debe ser maravilloso para México, con el PIB alto y la inflación baja. Hasta el año en curso se ve brillante. El precio del petróleo se mantiene firme, las tasas de interés están en su punto más bajo en 20 años y el comercio se va recuperando.
* VENENZUELA
Conmovida por la agitación política y social, Venezuela sufrirá una desaceleración económica, posiblemente la más grave en varias décadas, acompañada por una inflación en aumento. Los inversionistas se alejan. Se teme que crezca el desempleo. La recesión amenaza.
EN CIFRAS Pronóstico de Consenso de LATIN TRADE hasta abril de 2002 PIB real INFLACIÓN cambio % cambio % 2001 2002P 2003P 2001 2002P 2003P ARGENTINA -4.5 -10.7 1.8 -1.5 65.8 29.3 BRASIL 1.5 1.8 3.7 7.6 5.1 4.1 CHILE 2.8 3.2 4.8 2.6...
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