En cifras: pronostico de consenso de Latin Trade hasta enero de 2002.
Position | Eso Dicen - Cambios en producto interno bruto e inflacion |
* ARGENTINA
Malas noticias: el gobierno evade pagos de la deuda, la moneda está devaluada y las transacciones bancarias se han restringido. Al cierre de esta edición, quedaban pendientes nuevas reglas monetarias y un presupuesto, vitales para recibir más ayuda financiera.
* COLOMBIA
Aunque el Banco Central bajó las tasas de interés, el crecimiento del PIB se ha dilatado, debido en parte a la recesión mundial. También hay más preocupaciones por la seguridad. El déficit fiscal podría llegar al 3.5% del PIB este año.
* VENEZUELA
El débil precio del petróleo y la agitación política mellan la economía. Los analistas dicen que el presupuesto de 2002 es demasiado optimista, y que se necesita desesperadamente una reforma fiscal y una reducción de gastos.
EN CIFRAS Pronóstico de Consenso de LATIN TRADE hasta enero de 2002 PIB real INFLACIÓN cambio % cambio % 2000 2001E 2002P 2000 2001E 2002P ARGENTINA -0.5 -3.7 -7.2 -0.7 -1.5 74.9 BRASIL 4.2 1.6 1.9 6.0 7.4 5.0 CHILE 5.4 3.1 3.3 4.5 2.6 3.5 COLOMBIA 2.8 1.5 2.4 8.7 7.7 7.3 ECUADOR 2.3 5.4 3.7 91.0 23.0 10.7 MÉXICO 6.9 -0.3 1.2 9.0 4.4 4.7 PERÚ 3.1 0.0 3.2 3.7 -0.1 2.3 VENEZUELA 3.2 2.6...
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