En cifras: pronostico de consenso de Latin Trade hasta octubre de 2001.
Position | Eso Dicen - Pronosticos sobre desarrollo economico |
PIB real INFLACIÓN cambio % cambio % 2000 2001E 2002P 2000 2001E 2002P ARGENTINA -0.5 -2.0 0.0 -0.7 -1.2 0.3 BRASIL 4.2 1.4 1.3 6.0 6.7 5.4 CHILE 5.4 3.2 3.5 4.5 3.9 3.6 COLOMBIA 2.8 1.9 2.5 8.8 8.2 7.4 ECUADOR 2.3 5.2 4.3 91.0 19.8 9.1 MÉXICO 6.9 -0.1 2.0 9.0 5.6 5.1 PERÚ 3.6 0.0 3.0 3.7 1.9 2.8 VENEZUELA 3.2 2.8 2.2 13.4 13.0 13.5 TASA CAMBIARIA CUENTA CORRIENTE Final del período como % del PIB 2000 2001E 2002P 2000 2001E 2002P ARGENTINA 1.00 1.00 1.00 -3.4 -2.5 -2.0 BRASIL 1.96 2.84 2.80 -4.2 -5.0 -4.8 CHILE 574 693 691 -1.3 -2.0 -2.6 COLOMBIA 2,236 2,385 2,590 -0.1 -2.5 -2.6 ECUADOR 25,000 1.00 1.00 7.5 -2.5 -4.0 MÉXICO 9.60 9.63 10.18 -3.1 -2.7 -3.0 PERÚ 3.53 3.56 3.61 -2.9 -2.5 -2.5 VENEZUELA 700 755 852 11.5 3.8 2.5 RESERVAS US$ miles de millones 2000 2001E 2002P ARGENTINA 25.1 23.5 25.5 BRASIL 32.5 33.8 31.4 CHILE 14.7 14.6 14.6 COLOMBIA 9.0 9.1 8.9 ECUADOR 0.9 1.2 1.4 MÉXICO 35.5 38.3 37.8 PERÚ 8.4 8.7 8.7 VENEZUELA 13.1 15.0 14.4 E=Estimado P=Pronóstico FUENTE: Banacci, Bancomer, BBVA, CS First Boston, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Santander Central Hispano Investment, Salomon Smith Barney, LATIN TRADE ARGENTINA
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