Census Fracas

AuthorMark Walsh
Pages20-21
Next year, the
decennial U.S. cen-
sus will be con-
ducted as it has
been every 10 years
since 1790 —the “actual enumera-
tion” of the population as required in
Article I of the U.S. Constitution.
For the fi rst time, most respon-
dents will fi ll out forms online, with
April 1, 2020, targeted as Census
Day . But one matter of controversy
remains to be resolved before the
Census Bureau fi nalizes its ques-
tionnaire by the end of this June—
whether there will be a question
about citizenship.
On April 23, the U.S. Supreme
Court will take up a case that should
resolve the issue. The justices will
hear an appeal brought by the Trump
administration of a federal district
judge’s ruling that invalidated U.S.
Secretary of Commerce Wilbur Ross’
2018 decision to add a citizenship
question to the next census.
The stakes are high. The census is
used to apportion members of the
U.S. House of Representatives and
state legislatures, as well as to allo-
cate billions of dollars in federal aid.
Challengers to the citizenship
question point to an estimate—from
the Census Bureau’s own experts—
that asking about citizenship would
cause some 6.5 million people not to
respond to the questionnaire. Five
states—Arizona, California, Florida,
Illinois, New York and Texas—face a
substantial risk of losing a seat in the
House as a result, the federal district
judge found.
“The concern among immigrant
communities has always been that a
question about citizenship will drive
down census participation among
immigrants, Hispanics and people
who live in mixed-status households,”
says Dale Ho, director of the Voting
Rights Project of the American Civil
Liberties Union, which represents
the New York Immigration Coalition
and four other immigrant organiza-
tions that challenged Ross’ decision.
“This will cause the census to lose
some distributive accuracy, and the
result of that will be a malapportion-
ment of political representation and
will threaten the accurate distribu-
tion of federal funds,” Ho adds.
With U.S. Department of
Commerce v. New York, the high
court will consider, for the second
year in a row, a high-profi le Trump
administration policy in its April
argument session. Last year it was
the administration’s entry ban on
travelers from a handful of predom-
inantly Muslim countries, which
the justices upheld 5-4 in Trump v.
Hawaii at the end of its term.
The census case “involves an issue
of imperative public importance,”
U.S. Solicitor General Noel Francisco
told the justices when asking them
to grant review of the case without
Census Fracas
Court considers whether inquiry about
citizenship belongs on
the U.S. questionnaire
By Mark Walsh
20 || ABA JOURNAL APRIL 2019
The Docket
Supreme
Court
Report
the parties
having to
go through
a federal
appeals
court.
“The
judgment
below takes
the unprec-
edented step
of striking a
demographic
question from
the decennial census and thereby
preventing the secretary of commerce
from exercising his delegated powers
to ‘take a decennial census … in such
form and content as he may deter-
mine,’ ” Francisco wrote, quoting a
federal statute.
The two groups of challengers—
the immigrant organizations on one
hand and New York state, 17 other
states and various local governmen-
tal agencies on the other—strongly
defend the district judge’s ruling but
more or less acceded to the Trump
administration’s desire to have the
Supreme Court take up the case this
term. The justices granted review
in January, and with the late April
oral arguments, a decision is likely to
come at or near the end the court’s
term in late June, just before the
Census Bureau’s deadline to go to the
presses.
QUESTION NOT UNPRECEDENTE D
A question about citizenship fi rst
appeared on the census in 1820,
when Congress required enumerators
to count the number of “Foreigners
not naturalized.” Later, with the
exception of 1840, a citizenship
question appeared on every census
through 1950.
After that, the census moved
toward a short form for most house-
holds, while sending a longer form
to a sampling of households that
included the citizenship question.
After the 2000 census, the bureau
replaced the long form on the
decennial count with the American
Community Survey, a detailed annual
questionnaire of a sampling of the
population to collect demographic
data, including citizenship. It is not
used for legislative apportionment.
1908
1950
1970
Images of census
workers over the
last century
(pages 20-21).

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