And the Heat Goes On: Police Repression and the Modalities of Power

Published date01 November 2021
AuthorChristopher M. Sullivan,Howard Liu
Date01 November 2021
DOI10.1177/00220027211013099
Subject MatterSpecial Feature Articles
2021, Vol. 65(10) 1657 –1679
And the Heat Goes On:
Police Repression and
the Modalities of Power
Howard Liu
1
and Christopher M. Sullivan
2
Abstract
Among security institutions, police occupy a unique position. In addition to spe-
cializing in the repression of dissent, police monitor society and enforce order. Yet
within research studying state repression, how police institutions are used and
deployed to control domestic threats remain under-explored, particularly as it
relates to the dual functionality just described. In this study, we develop and test an
explanation of police repression accounting for the bifurcation of Mann’s two
modalities of state power: infrastructural power and despotic power. Infrastructural
power allocates police resources to surveil dissidents and preemptively limit dis-
sent’s emergence or escalation. Police deploy despotic power through repressive
responses to political threats. Empirically, we employ unique data to investigate
police repression and the modalities of power in Guatemala. To analyze how shifting
the balance between infrastructural and despotic power affects police repression,
we isolate damage occurring from an earthquake that exogenously reshaped the
landscape of infrastructural power. Results affirm the role of infrastructural power in
regulating the despotic power of the state. Where local infrastructure was most
affected by the earthquake, the security apparatus lost the capacity to surveil nascent
movements and predict their activity, thereby providing opportunity for dissidents
to mobilize and forcing police to (over-)react rather than shutdown resistance
preemptively. However, the intensity of state violence recedes as the state recovers
from the infrastructural damage and regains its control of local district.
1
Department of Government, University of Essex, United Kingdom
2
Department of Political Science, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA, USA
Corresponding Author:
Christopher M. Sullivan, Department of Political Science, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA,
USA.
Email: csullivanlsu@gmail.com
Journal of Conflict Resolution
ªThe Author(s) 2021
Article reuse guidelines:
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DOI: 10.1177/00220027211013099
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Special Feature Article
1658 Journal of Conflict Resolution 65(10)
Keywords
policing, repression, political order, conflict
States apply a diverse range of repressive tactics in their efforts to maintain political
order. For example, governments arrest, torture, and kill dissidents to squash mobi-
lization; they also track and surveil emergent organizations to deter resistance (Tilly
2003; Davenport 2009; Sullivan 2019; Ritter and Conrad 2016). At the extreme,
tactics of mass killing are deployed to violently remove civilians surrounding/sup-
porting insurgent challengers (Valentino, Huth, and Balch-Lindsay 2004). But while
there remains little disagreement over the willingness of states to repress political
dissidents, at present the microfoundational evidence on whether repression system-
atically improves or weakens political order remains inconclusive (Davenport
2007a).
1
When repression fails, it creates backlash, reshaping political alliances and
weakening state authority (Lucas 1998).
Equally puzzling, states employ starkly different levels of repression to govern
their societies. States like Somalia apply widespread violence to suppress chal-
lenger groups, while states like China utilize their security apparatus to detect
and repel potential threats with more limited reliance on overt repression. Gov-
ernments also vary in their application of coercive force across community
groups and across territory, as evidence from recent exposures of police vio-
lence in the United States make abundantly clear. Existing literature on state
repression does not yet provide satisfactory explanations specifying the condi-
tions under which different levels of repressive severity are applied (Davenport
2009; Hill and Jones 2014).
To explain repression, we differentiate two modalities of state power:
“infrastructural power” and “despotic power” (Mann 1984). The modalities are
differentiated both by the technologies through which power is applied and by the
corresponding coercive practices the y prescribe.
2
Infrastructural power allocates
resources to state institutions administering bureaucratic authority and enforcement;
despotic power involves repression intended to counter political challenges. The
former draws individuals into routine contact with the state’s legal apparatus,
enabling preemptive action to detect and manage nascent threats. The latter deploys
units to specific locations in order to respond to dissent and maintain order. Based on
this theoretical distinction, we argue that states substitute between these two meth-
ods of political control (Moore 2000). When the state has strong infrastructure to
monitor and control society, it can preemptively neutralize dissent before it breaks
out. In contrast, when the state has limited infrastructural power, it substitutes severe
repression in response to dissident threats.
Among security institutions, police occupy a unique position at the intersection of
the two modalities of power. Simultaneous to their role in monitoring society to
identify rogue behavior, police represent a core institution specializing in the
2Journal of Conflict Resolution XX(X)

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