An Overlooked Cost of Contracting Out: Evidence From Employee Turnover Intention in U.S. Federal Agencies

Published date01 September 2021
AuthorSergio Fernandez,Gyeo Reh Lee,Shinwoo Lee
Date01 September 2021
DOI10.1177/0091026020944558
Subject MatterArticles
https://doi.org/10.1177/0091026020944558
Public Personnel Management
2021, Vol. 50(3) 381 –407
© The Author(s) 2020
Article reuse guidelines:
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DOI: 10.1177/0091026020944558
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Article
An Overlooked Cost of
Contracting Out: Evidence
From Employee Turnover
Intention in U.S. Federal
Agencies
Gyeo Reh Lee1, Sergio Fernandez1,2,
and Shinwoo Lee3
Abstract
Contracting out has long been used in all levels of government in the United
States, with federal contract spending increasing 8% to 9% annually since 2015.
The literature on contracting out has examined the impact of this practice on the
work-related attitudes and motivation of public employees who have transitioned
to work for private contractors. However, we understand very little about the
effects of contracting out on the overwhelming number of public employees who
are not displaced. Given the importance of work-related attitudes and turnover
for organizations, this study explores the potential consequences of contracting
out for employee turnover intention over a period of several years. The results
of panel data analyses suggest that an increase in contracting activity in federal
agencies increases the employee turnover intention rate. Contracting out also
impacts employee turnover intention indirectly through its influence on job
satisfaction.
Keywords
contracting out, privatization, employee turnover intention, employee job satisfaction,
new public management
1Indiana University Bloomington, IN, USA
2University of Pretoria, South Africa
3Incheon National University, South Korea
Corresponding Author:
Shinwoo Lee, Department of Public Administration, Incheon National University, 119 Academy-ro,
Songdo 1-dong, Incheon 22012, South Korea.
Email: korlsw79@gmail.com
944558PPMXXX10.1177/0091026020944558Public Personnel ManagementLee et al.
research-article2020
382 Public Personnel Management 50(3)
Introduction
Contracting out, in which public organizations shift the provision of public goods and
services to other organizations, has long been used in all levels of government in the
United States. Whereas the history of contracting out in the U.S. federal bureaucracy
goes back to the American Revolutionary War in the late 1770s, more extensive use of
the practice began during the 1980s under the Reagan administration (Pegnato, 2011).
By the 1990s, the contracting trend accelerated further, with a growing number of
public functions and services outsourced (Kettl, 1993), a substantial share of federal
spending going to contractors (Milward, 1994), and more civilian employees working
for government contractors than on the federal payroll (Frederickson, 1997). Both the
Clinton and Bush administrations expanded the use of competitive sourcing, which
requires competition between federal agencies and private vendors, in regard to fed-
eral jobs considered to be commercial; about half of federal jobs were affected by
potential competition with the private sector (Gansler & Lucyshyn, 2004).
The literature on government contracting has focused extensively on how to struc-
ture and manage the contracting process to ensure competition, mitigate agency prob-
lems, and reduce transaction costs (T. L. Brown et al., 2006; Fernandez, 2009; Girth
et al., 2012; Sclar, 2000), as well as on the effects of contracting on cost and quality of
services (Alonso et al., 2017; Bel et al., 2010; Hodge, 2000; Petersen et al., 2018).
More recently, researchers have begun to pay more attention to the effects of contract-
ing out on work-related attitudes and motivation of public employees (Battaglio, 2009;
Lindholst et al., 2018). These studies suggest negative consequences for public
employees transitioning to private-sector employment. However, how government
contracting out impacts public employees not displaced as a result of the transition to
external service delivery is a topic that has remained largely unexplored (G. R. Lee &
Lee, 2020).
This study seeks to expand our understanding of contracting out by examining how
this practice impacts the job satisfaction and turnover intention of federal government
employees, those who continue to work in federal agencies that engage in contacting
activity. More specifically, we empirically investigate whether and how an increase in
an agency’s contracting out activity affects the turnover intention rate among remain-
ing employees in an agency. Various streams of theory and research offer insight into
how contracting out can affect public employees’ intention to voluntarily leave their
organizations. Greater reliance on contracting, which can negatively impact public-
sector employment and poses a threat to job security (Fernandez et al., 2007), can be
viewed as a violation of the psychological contract between public-sector employees
and their employers (Lindholst et al., 2018). As predicted by psychological contract
theory, reduced job security can precipitate voluntary departure by those who have
survived previous efforts to outsource work (Turnley & Feldman, 2000). Moreover,
contracting out may generate additional job demands on public employees, create
stress, misalign the values of public employees and those of the organizations they
work for, and deny public employees a sense of autonomy (Fernandez & Smith, 2006;
Government Business Council, 2015; Lindholst et al., 2018; Nelson et al., 1995). For

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