2019 CON MEJOR LENTE.
Author | Gutierrez, Santiago |
Una mirada mas precisa al ano que comienza. Mas alla de la macroeconomia.
A estas alturas todos sabemos las cifras de la macroeconomia para la region. En 2019 la produccion en America Latina crecera alrededor de un deslucido 1,7%. Los paises estrella seran Dominica (9%), Republica Dominicana (5,7%) y Panama (5,6%) y los que menos creceran, Venezuela (-10%), Nicaragua (-2%) y Argentina (-1,8%). Mexico y Brasil, los mas grandes de la region, creceran en 2% y 2,1% respectivamente.
Esta informacion y otras como las de inflacion, desempleo o deficit fiscal son commodites. Cientos de instituciones en el mundo hacen pronosticos sobre su movimiento y los resultados estan puestos en sitios a los que se puede acceder con cualquier celular.
Por ellos sabemos--y eso es crucial--que la gran amenaza de 2019 para America Latina esta en como traten los mercados financieros internacionales a las economias emergentes. Una suspension en la entrada de capitales pondria en aprietos muy serios a la gran mayoria de los paises de la region, que ya tienen balanzas comerciales mas endebles y estan mucho mas endeudados.
Pero debemos hablar de otras cosas importantes. De esas que enriquecen o empobrecen a las personas y que hacen tambalear a los gobiernos. En este...
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