2001, perspectivas del transporte.
Position | TT: 2001, perspectives of transportation. |
Es hora de consultar la bola de cristal y ver lo que el futuro depara a la industria del transporte. Aunque es imposible adivinar, digo, pronosticar lo que pasará en los 12 meses próximos, los temas clave del 2001 son:
PRECIOS DEL PETROLEO Y LOS COMBUSTIBLES
Jugar la lotería sería más seguro que adivinar el precio de la gasolina este año. Los expertos dijeron en el 2000 que los precios tenían que bajar, pero subieron un tercio en los tres primeros trimestres del año. Los ejecutivos de las petroleras dicen que a principios de 2001 los precios bajarán de US$32 el barril a entre US$22 y US$28, pero nunca se sabe.
HUELGAS
La agitación laboral interrumpió la cadena logística en el 2000 en Brasil, Argentina y otros países de la región. Esperen más de lo mismo a medida que los trabajadores se queden sin empleo por las privatizaciones y el aumento de la productividad. Hay problemas a la vista en los muelles de Brasil y Chile, mientras el incremento del comercio podría congestionar las carreteras argentinas y brasileñas.
TARIFAS DE CARGA
Las tarifas seguirán altas mientras no baje el precio del combustible. Las aerolíneas y las navieras comenzaron a aumentar los precios a principios del 2000 en respuesta al alza del petróleo. No deben esperarse reducciones hasta que baje al...
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